SMU at USF NCAA Football Betting Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Raymond James Stadium

Jordan McCloud and the USF Bulls host the SMU Mustangs at Raymond James Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2019. The spread on this game has SMU as 6.5-point favorites. The Mustangs are 4-0-0 ATS and 4-0-0 when betting on the total. The Bulls are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-1-0 against the spread.

Key SMU Mustangs Injuries

09/22/19 WR Keke Burns Head is questionable Saturday vs South Florida

Key USF Bulls Injuries

No key injuries to report

In their last game, the SMU Mustangs played the TCU Horned Frogs and ended up getting the victory by a score of 41-38. Xavier Jones paced the team on the ground for that contest. He broke a long run for 23 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He racked up a total of 79 yards via 19 carries which had him averaging 4.2 yards per carry. Reggie Roberson Jr. was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 122 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 30.5 yards per catch for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Mustangs was Shane Buechele who went 23/34 with 288 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He gave away 1 pick in the game. The SMU Mustangs ran the ball 48 times and totaled 118 yards which had them averaging 2.5 yards per rushing attempt. In all, they finished with a total of 82 plays for 406 yards. In the game, the Mustangs racked up 16 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 45 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In terms of defense, SMU gave up 16 catches on 36 throws for a total of 188 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.4%. Against the run, the Mustangs gave up 236 yards on 42 tries which means they allowed 5.6 yards per run allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 424 yards and forced 3 takeaways.

The Mustangs come into this matchup with a record of 4-0 for this season. For total yardage, they rank 2nd in the AAC and 10th in the nation with 2,056 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 43.5 points per game, ranking them 17th in the nation. As a team, they have an average of 216.8 rushing yards per contest which is 6th in the AAC. The Mustangs have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, allowing 28 points per contest which has them at 10th in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Mustangs have conceded 1,189 yards. Teams are completing 57.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.6 yards per try. In regard to yards on the ground, SMU is giving up 138.3 yards per game ranking them 7th in the AAC and 60th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4 yards per carry ranking them 7th in the AAC and 65th in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 553 rushing yards through 4 games.

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In their last game, the USF Bulls played the South Carolina State Bulldogs and ended up getting the win by a score of 55-16. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bulls was Jordan McCloud who went 16/27 with 217 yards passing and completed 3 TD's. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Kelley Joiner Jr. led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 51 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 64 yards via 12 carries which had him averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Johnny Ford was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 100 yards on 4 receptions. He had an average of 25.0 yards per reception for the game. The USF Bulls ended up running the ball 39 times and racked up 220 yards which earned them an average of 5.6 yards per rush. Overall, the Bulls racked up 18 first downs and they had 6 penalties for 51 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In the game, they finished with a total of 72 plays for 461 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, USF gave up 18 catches on 42 throws for a total of 283 yards, and a completion percentage of 42.9%. For this contest, they conceded 378 yards and forced 8 turnovers. On the ground, the Bulls gave up 95 yards on 44 attempts which means they allowed 2.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Bulls come into this game with a record of 1-2. USF hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 113 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 108th in the nation. As a unit, they have a total of 339 rushing yards through 3 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Bulls average 293.3 yards per contest overall which has them at 120th in the country and 11th in the American Athletic Conference. The Bulls are conceding 26.3 points per contest ranking them 8th in the AAC and 72nd in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the top units in the country. They are conceding 186 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bulls currently sit at 5th in the conference. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 79 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are allowing 170 yards per game ranking them 89th in college football and 10th in the conference. For this season, they have given up a total of 510 yards rushing and 6.9 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Bulls college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mustangs -6.5

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