SMU at TCU NCAA Football Parlay 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Amon G. Carter Stadium

Alex Delton and the TCU Horned Frogs host the SMU Mustangs at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, September 21, 2019. The odds on this contest have TCU as 11-point favorites. The total is set at 55. The Mustangs are 3-0-0 ATS and 3-0-0 when betting on the total. The Horned Frogs are 0-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-1-0 against the spread.

Key SMU Mustangs Injuries

09/15/19 WR Keke Burns Head is questionable Saturday vs TCU

Key TCU Horned Frogs Injuries

09/15/19 WR Mikel Barkley Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs SMU
09/15/19 WR Taye Barber Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs SMU
09/02/19 QB Matthew Baldwin Undisclosed is out indefinitely
08/11/19 DB Noah Daniels Undisclosed is out for season
08/05/19 PK Cole Bunce Undisclosed is out indefinitely

The last time they played, the SMU Mustangs went up against the Texas State Bobcats and ended up getting the win by a score of 47-17. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Mustangs was Shane Buechele who went 14/18 with 219 yards through the air and threw 2 TD's. He gave away 2 interceptions on the day. TJ McDaniel led the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 48 yards and he tallied 3 TD's for the game. He ran for a total of 159 yards via 8 carries which means he ran for an average of 19.9 yards per carry. Reggie Roberson Jr. was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 68 yards on 4 catches. He averaged 17.0 yards per reception for that game. The SMU Mustangs ended up running the ball 56 times and earned 390 yards which had them averaging 7.0 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the Mustangs totaled 23 first downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 75 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In all, they finished with a total of 75 plays for 639 yards. In terms of defense, SMU allowed 25 completions on 40 attempts totaling 225 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. Overall, they allowed 241 yards and forced 1 turnover. Against the run, the Mustangs allowed 16 yards on 29 carries allowing their opponent an average of 0.6 yards per run allowed.

The Mustangs head into this game 3-0 for this year. For total yards, they rank 2nd in the AAC and 8th in the country with 1,650 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 44.3 points per contest, which has them at 18th in the country. As a team, they are averaging 249.7 yards on the ground per contest which is 4th in the conference. The Mustangs have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, allowing 24.7 points per contest which has them at 7th in the American Athletic Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Mustangs have allowed 901 yards. Opponents are completing 61.7% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.7 yards per attempt. When talking about yards on the ground, SMU is giving up 105.7 yards per contest putting them 5th in the conference and 41st in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.3 yards per rush ranking them 7th in the conference and 41st in college football overall. In total, they have allowed 317 yards rushing through 3 games.

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In their last game, the TCU Horned Frogs played the Purdue Boilermakers and earned the win by a score of 34-13. Running the show from under center for the Horned Frogs was Max Duggan who went 7/18 with 70 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He walked away with no picks. Darius Anderson led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 37 yards and he tallied 2 TD's for the game. He ran for 179 yards on 16 carries which meant he was running for 11.2 yards per carry. Jalen Reagor was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 29 yards on 3 receptions. He earned an average of 9.7 yards per reception for the game. The TCU Horned Frogs ran the ball 58 times and earned 346 yards which gave them an average of 6.0 yards per attempt. In the game, the Horned Frogs earned 23 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 60 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In all, they finished with a total of 82 plays which gave them a total of 421 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, TCU allowed 13 completions on 29 tries for a total of 181 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.8%. In the running game, the Horned Frogs allowed 23 yards on 25 tries giving the other team an average of 0.9 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed 204 yards and earned 2 turnovers.

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The Horned Frogs head into this matchup 2-0. In discussing the offensive production, the Horned Frogs have one of the best offenses in the nation. TCU has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 273 rushing yards per game, which has them at 14th in the country. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 546 rushing yards through 2 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Horned Frogs average 452.5 yards per game overall ranking them 43rd in Division 1 and 6th in the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are giving up 10 points per contest ranking them 1st in the Big 12 Conference and 8th in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the elite groups in college football. They are conceding 147.5 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Horned Frogs currently sit at 4th in the Big 12 Conference. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 20 total points. When talking about yards rushing, they are conceding 62 yards per game ranking them 6th in D-1 and 1st in the conference. For 2019, they have allowed a total of 124 yards on the ground and 1 rushing touchdown.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -11 and over 55 total points

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