SMU vs Navy College Football Betting Tips and Predictions 11/23/2019

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Navy -4

Total/Over-Under: 66.5

Malcolm Perry and the Navy Midshipmen host the SMU Mustangs at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday, November 23, 2019. SMU opens this contest as 4-point underdogs. The Mustangs are 6-4-0 ATS and 9-1-0 when betting on the total. The Midshipmen are 6-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the SMU Mustangs took on the East Carolina Pirates and won 59-51. Leading the way at QB for the Mustangs was Shane Buechele who went 33/46 with 414 yards passing and threw 5 touchdowns. He threw 1 interception in the game. Xavier Jones led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 64 yards and he notched 3 touchdowns in the game. He racked up a total of 157 yards by way of 20 carries which meant he averaged 7.9 yards per run. James Proche was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 167 yards on 14 receptions. He had an average of 11.9 yards per catch for the game. The Mustangs ran the ball a total of 37 times and totaled 222 yards earning them an average of 6.0 yards per attempt. On the day, they ran 83 plays for 636 yards. For the contest, the Mustangs had a total of 33 first downs and they had a total of 3 infractions for 9 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. In terms of defense, SMU conceded 32 completions on 42 tries for a total of 498 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.2%. For this contest, they gave up a total of 644 yards and earned 1 turnover. In the running game, the Mustangs conceded 146 yards on 35 runs which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt allowed.

The Mustangs come into this game with a record of 9-1 in 2019. For total yards, they sit in 2nd in the conference and 8th in Division 1 with 5,222 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 45.1 points per game, putting them 6th in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 194.1 rushing yards per contest which is 6th in the AAC. The Mustangs have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, giving up 32.7 points per contest which has them at 8th in the AAC. When it comes to rushing yards, SMU is giving up 124.3 yards per game which has them at 2nd in the American Athletic Conference and 29th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.5 yards per rush putting them 4th in the conference and 25th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,243 rushing yards through 10 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Mustangs have allowed 3,281 yards. Opponents are completing 58.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.7 yards per attempt.

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The last time they took the field, the Navy Midshipmen faced the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and were defeated 52-20. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Midshipmen was Perry Olsen who went 1/5 with 43 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Malcolm Perry paced the team on the ground in the game. He tore off a long run of 46 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 117 yards on 25 carries which meant he averaged 4.7 yards per carry. Mychal Cooper was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 73 yards on 3 receptions. He averaged 24.3 yards per reception in the game. The Midshipmen ended up running the ball 64 times and earned a total of 281 yards which earned them an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 77 plays for 360 yards. Overall, the Midshipmen earned a total of 20 first downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 20 yards which tells us that we had a very focused team on our hands. In terms of defense, Navy gave up 16 completions on 22 tries totaling 305 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.7%. On the ground, the Midshipmen gave up 105 yards on 31 attempts which gave them an average of 3.4 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they allowed 410 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers.

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The Midshipmen head into this game 7-2. Navy is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 349.7 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 1st in D-1. As a team, they have a total of 3,147 rushing yards through 9 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Midshipmen average 446.3 yards per contest overall which has them at 33rd in the country and 5th in the American Athletic Conference. The Midshipmen are giving up 21.9 points per contest ranking them 2nd in the conference and 34th in Division 1. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in Division 1. They are conceding 212.8 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Midshipmen sit in 6th in the conference. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 197 total points. In terms of yards on the ground, they are allowing 109.1 yards per contest ranking them 18th in the country and 1st in the American Athletic Conference. For this year, they have conceded 982 yards on the ground and 9 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen -4

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