Purdue vs Northwestern NCAA Football Parlay 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Ryan Field

Aidan O'Connell and the Purdue Boilermakers head to Ryan Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Northwestern Wildcats. The odds on this matchup have Purdue as 1.5-point favorites. The Boilermakers are 5-4-0 ATS and 5-4-0 when betting on the total. The Wildcats are 2-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-6-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Purdue Boilermakers faced the Nebraska Cornhuskers and ended up getting the win by a score of 31-27. King Doerue paced the team on the ground for that game. He broke a long run for 25 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He rushed for a total of 71 yards via 15 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.7 yards per run. Brycen Hopkins led the team in receiving yardage by earning 97 yards on 8 receptions. He notched an average of 12.1 yards per reception for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Boilermakers was Jack Plummer who went 25/34 with 242 yards through the air and tossed 2 touchdowns. He threw 2 interceptions during the game. The Boilermakers rushed the ball a total of 35 times and added 146 yards which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per carry. In the game, the Boilermakers earned 24 first downs and they had 10 penalties for 89 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. Overall, they finished with a total of 76 plays for 450 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Purdue gave up 22 completions on 39 throws totaling 247 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.4%. For the game, they gave up 375 yards and earned 1 turnover. Against the run, the Boilermakers gave up 128 yards on 35 runs which gave them an average of 3.7 yards per run allowed.

The Boilermakers come into this matchup with a record of 3-6 this season. For total yards, they rank 7th in the Big Ten Conference and 73rd in the country with 3,412 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 24.6 points per contest, ranking them 94th in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 77.6 yards on the ground per contest which is 14th in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, allowing 28.4 points per game ranking them 11th in the conference. In discussing yards rushing, Purdue is giving up 163.4 yards per game putting them 11th in the Big Ten Conference and 71st in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per rush ranking them 13th in the Big Ten and 78th in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,471 rushing yards through 9 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Boilermakers have allowed 2,714 yards. Teams are completing 61.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.5 yards per try.

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In their last game, the Northwestern Wildcats played the Indiana Hoosiers and lost 34-3. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Hunter Johnson who went 7/17 with 65 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Aidan Smith paced the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 22 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 34 yards via 6 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.7 yards per carry. Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 43 yards on 3 receptions. He had an average of 14.3 yards per reception in the game. The Wildcats ran the football 28 times and earned 87 yards giving them an average of 3.1 yards per carry. In the game, they ran 59 plays which added up to 199 yards. On the day, the Wildcats totaled 12 1st downs and they had 9 penalties for 97 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. When it comes to their defensive performance, Northwestern gave up 17 completions on 25 throws totaling 270 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. Overall, they allowed 414 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. On the ground, the Wildcats gave up 144 yards on 51 carries which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Wildcats come into this matchup with a record of 1-7. In discussing the offensive production, the Wildcats leave a lot to be desired in terms of scoring in the nation. Northwestern hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 133.9 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 101st in the nation. As a unit, they have a total of 1,071 rushing yards through 8 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Wildcats average 258.1 yards per contest overall putting them 129th in D-1 and 14th in the Big Ten Conference. The Wildcats are conceding 25.6 points per game which puts them at 10th in the conference and 53rd in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the most dominate units in the country. They are allowing 191.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Wildcats currently sit at 7th in the conference. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 205 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are giving up 158.3 yards per game ranking them 64th in Division 1 and 10th in the Big Ten Conference. This year, they have allowed a total of 1,266 yards on the ground and 11.2 rushing touchdowns.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Wildcats +1.5 and over the total points

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