Purdue vs Iowa NCAA Football Picks & Predictions

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Kinnick Stadium

Nathan Stanley and the Iowa Hawkeyes play the Purdue Boilermakers at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday, October 19, 2019. Iowa opens this game as 17-point favorites. The Boilermakers are 3-3-0 ATS and 4-2-0 when betting on the total. The Hawkeyes are 1-4-1 when wagering on the over/under and 2-4-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Purdue Boilermakers played the Maryland Terrapins and won 40-14. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Boilermakers was Jack Plummer who went 33/41 with 420 yards through the air and added 3 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. King Doerue paced the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 26 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He scurried for 69 yards by way of 19 carries which meant he averaged 3.6 yards per tote. Brycen Hopkins was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 140 yards on 10 receptions. He had an average of 14.0 yards per reception for the game. The Boilermakers ended up running the ball 37 times and totaled 127 yards which earned them an average of 3.4 yards per attempt. On the day, the Boilermakers racked up 24 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 40 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they totaled 78 plays which gave them a total of 547 yards. When discussing the defense, Purdue gave up 21 catches on 39 attempts for a total of 218 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.8%. On the ground, the Boilermakers gave up 185 yards on 26 attempts which is an average of 7.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they allowed 403 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Boilermakers step onto the field holding a record of 2-4 for this season. For total yards, they currently sit at 10th in the conference and 80th in college football with 2,331 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 27.3 points per contest, which has them at 78th in college football. As a unit, they have an average of 64 rushing yards per game which is 14th in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, giving up 29.8 points per game putting them 12th in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Boilermakers have allowed 1,947 yards. Teams are completing 61.2% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.8 yards per attempt. In discussing yards rushing, Purdue is giving up 166.5 yards per contest ranking them 11th in the Big Ten Conference and 79th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.6 yards per carry which has them at 13th in the Big Ten and 87th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 999 rushing yards through 6 games.

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In their last game, the Iowa Hawkeyes went up against the Penn State Nittany Lions and lost 17-12. Leading the way at QB for the Hawkeyes was Nate Stanley who went 25/43 with 286 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He tossed 1 interception during the game. Tyler Goodson led the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 29 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 35 yards by way of 8 carries which had him averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Brandon Smith was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 86 yards on 7 receptions. He had an average of 12.3 yards per catch in the game. The Hawkeyes ran the ball 30 times and generated 70 yards which had them averaging 2.3 yards per run. For the contest, the Hawkeyes totaled 21 1st downs and they had a total of 1 penalty for 5 yards telling us that they had a strong outing in terms of discipline. Overall, they ran 73 plays which gave them a total of 356 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Iowa allowed 12 catches on 24 attempts totaling 117 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the game, they gave up 308 yards but finished the game without a turnover. Against the run, the Hawkeyes allowed 191 yards on 51 tries which means they had an average of 3.7 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Hawkeyes come into this matchup with a record of 4-2. Iowa is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 156.8 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 78th in college football. As a team, they have compiled a total of 941 yards rushing through 6 contests, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Hawkeyes average 412.8 yards per game overall putting them 68th in the nation and 7th in the conference. The Hawkeyes are giving up 10.2 points per game ranking them 4th in the Big Ten Conference and 5th in Division 1. Their pass defense is one of the top units in the country. They are conceding 159 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Hawkeyes are ranked 3rd in the conference. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 61 points in total. When talking about yards rushing, they are conceding 104.8 yards per game which puts them at 22nd in D-1 and 4th in the Big Ten. In 2019, they have given up 629 yards rushing and 1.8 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Boilermakers/Hawkeyes college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Boilermakers +17

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