Oregon at Stanford Expert College Football Picks 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Stanford Stadium

Stanford Stadium is the venue where K.J. Costello and the Stanford Cardinal will take on the Oregon Ducks on Saturday. Oregon opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The total is set at 58.5. The Ducks are 1-2-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Cardinal are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key Oregon Ducks Injuries

09/15/19 DL Austin Faoliu Thigh is questionable Saturday vs Stanford
09/15/19 TE Cam McCormick Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Stanford
09/15/19 K Zach Emerson Legal problems is questionable Saturday vs Stanford
09/15/19 WR Juwan Johnson Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Stanford
09/02/19 LB Adrian Jackson Foot is out for season
09/02/19 WR JR Waters Foot is out for season
08/22/19 WR Mycah Pittman Shoulder is out indefinitely
08/06/19 WR Brenden Schooler Foot is out indefinitely

Key Stanford Cardinal Injuries

09/15/19 OL Foster Sarell Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Oregon
09/15/19 LB Jacob Mangum-Farrar Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Oregon
09/15/19 LB Ricky Miezan Knee is questionable Saturday vs Oregon
09/03/19 OL Walker Little Leg is out for season

The last time they took the field, the Oregon Ducks took on the Montana Grizzlies and earned the win by a score of 35-3. Leading the way at QB for the Ducks was Justin Herbert who went 30/42 with 316 yards through the air and tossed 5 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Travis Dye led the team on the ground in the game. His longest run of the day went for 23 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for a total of 101 yards by way of 17 carries which meant he averaged 5.9 yards per carry. Johnny Johnson III was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 76 yards on 8 receptions. He had an average of 9.5 yards per catch in the game. The Oregon Ducks ended up rushing 38 times and racked up a total of 247 yards which earned them an average of 6.5 yards per carry. In all, they totaled 81 plays which gave them a total of 560 yards. For the game, the Ducks had a total of 30 first downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 20 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. When it comes to their defensive performance, Oregon gave up 24 catches on 43 attempts for a total of 234 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.8%. On the day, they allowed a total of 242 yards and forced 1 takeaways. In the running game, the Ducks gave up 8 yards on 21 attempts which means they allowed 0.4 yards per carry allowed.

The Ducks come into this game with a record of 2-1 this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 44.3 points per game, putting them 19th in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 103.7 yards on the ground per contest which is 10th in the Pac-12 Conference. For total yardage, they currently sit at 11th in the Pac-12 Conference and 98th in the nation with 955 yards. The Ducks have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 12 points per game which has them at 3rd in the Pac-12. When it comes to yards through the air, the Ducks have conceded 644 yards. Opponents are completing 48.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 4.8 yards per attempt. In terms of yards on the ground, Oregon is giving up 96.3 yards per game ranking them 4th in the Pac-12 Conference and 35th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.5 yards per rush ranking them 3rd in the conference and 50th in the country overall. In total, they have conceded 289 rushing yards through 3 games.

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In their last game, the Stanford Cardinal faced the UCF Knights and were beaten 45-27. Austin Jones led the team on the ground for that game. He broke a long run for 35 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for 65 yards on 7 carries which had him averaging 9.3 yards per run. Michael Wilson led the team in receiving yardage by earning 71 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 14.2 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Cardinal was K.J. Costello who went 21/44 with 199 yards passing and threw 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 interception in the game. The Stanford Cardinal ran the ball 23 times and earned 116 yards which had them averaging 5.0 yards per carry. On the day, the Cardinal had a total of 21 1st downs and they had 6 infractions for 48 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the day, they ran 72 plays for a total of 349 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Stanford gave up 22 completions on 30 attempts for a total of 347 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.3%. On the day, they conceded a total of 545 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Cardinal gave up 198 yards on 44 tries which gave them an average of 4.5 yards per run allowed.

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The Cardinal head into this game 1-2. Stanford hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 115.3 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 105th in the country. As a team, they have compiled a total of 346 yards rushing through 3 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Cardinal average 349.7 yards per game overall putting them 102nd in the nation and 10th in the conference. The Cardinal are giving up 32.3 points per game which puts them at 11th in the Pac-12 Conference and 104th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in Division 1. They are allowing 280.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Cardinal currently sit at 12th in the Pac-12 Conference. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 97 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are allowing 135.3 yards per contest which puts them at 63rd in the nation and 7th in the Pac-12 Conference. For this season, they have allowed 406 yards on the ground and 6 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Ducks/Cardinal NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinal +1.5

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