Oregon State at UCLA NCAA Football Picks and Tips 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Rose Bowl

Jake Luton and the Oregon State Beavers head to Rose Bowl on Saturday where they'll meet the UCLA Bruins. The Beavers are 2-1-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Bruins are 1-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-3-0 against the spread.

Key Oregon State Beavers Injuries

09/29/19 S Jalen Moore Hamstring missed last game, is questionable Saturday vs UCLA
09/29/19 OL Nathan Eldridge Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs UCLA
09/19/19 WR Trevon Bradford Foot is out indefinitely
08/27/19 LB Andrzej Hughes-Murray Foot is out indefinitely
08/06/19 DE Jeromy Reichner ACL is out for season
08/06/19 TE Ralph Taufa'asau Finger is out indefinitely

Key UCLA Bruins Injuries

09/29/19 QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson Ankle left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Oregon State
09/07/19 RB Kazmeir Allen Academics is out indefinitely
08/25/19 LB Bo Calvert Suspension is out indefinitely
08/08/19 LB Tyree Thompson Leg is out indefinitely

In their last game, the Oregon State Beavers faced the Stanford Cardinal and took the defeat by a score of 31-28. Leading the way at QB for the Beavers was Jake Luton who went 27/39 with 337 yards through the air and threw 1 touchdown. He ended the game without an interception. Artavis Pierce led the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 43 yards and he added 2 touchdowns during the game. He ran for a total of 141 yards by way of 16 carries which meant he averaged 8.8 yards per carry. Isaiah Hodgins was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 162 yards on 10 catches. He had an average of 16.2 yards per catch in the game. The Oregon State Beavers rushed the ball a total of 33 times and racked up a total of 164 yards giving them an average of 5.0 yards per carry. In all, they ran 72 plays for a total of 501 yards. Overall, the Beavers racked up 28 first downs and they totaled 7 infractions for 56 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the defensive side of the ball, Oregon State allowed 19 catches on 27 throws totaling 253 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.4%. In the game, they gave up 353 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. Against the run, the Beavers allowed 100 yards on 31 carries giving the other team an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Beavers head into this game 1-3 in 2019. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 34.3 points per contest, ranking them 42nd in the country. As a unit, they have an average of 213 rushing yards per contest which is 2nd in the conference. For total yards, they sit in 4th in the Pac-12 Conference and 47th in the country with 1,930 yards. The Beavers have one of the worst defenses in college football, allowing 30.3 points per game ranking them 9th in the Pac-12. When it comes to yards through the air, the Beavers have allowed 1,078 yards. Opponents are completing 64.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.7 yards per attempt. When talking about yards rushing, Oregon State is giving up 180.5 yards per game putting them 12th in the conference and 102nd in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rush putting them 8th in the Pac-12 and 82nd in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 722 yards rushing through 4 games.

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The last time they played, the UCLA Bruins played the Arizona Wildcats and took the loss by a score of 20-17. Joshua Kelley led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 36 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown during the game. He ran for a total of 127 yards by way of 27 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.7 yards per run. Kyle Philips was the receiving yardage leader by earning 63 yards on 6 catches. He had an average of 10.5 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bruins was Dorian Thompson-Robinson who went 17/33 with 180 yards passing and threw 1 TD. He gave away 1 pick during the game. The UCLA Bruins ended up running the ball 43 times and earned 217 yards which earned them an average of 5.0 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 85 plays which gave them a total of 445 yards. For the game, the Bruins earned 25 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 40 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, UCLA gave up 29 completions on 44 tries for a total of 352 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.9%. In the running game, the Bruins gave up 99 yards on 30 runs which gave them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they conceded a total of 451 yards but finished the game without a turnover.

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The Bruins come into this game with a record of 1-4. In discussing the offensive production, the Bruins have one of the average offenses in college football. UCLA needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 76.8 rushing yards per game, which has them at 127th in college football. As a team, they have a total of 384 yards rushing through 5 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Bruins average 289.4 yards per contest overall putting them 125th in D-1 and 12th in the Pac-12. The Bruins are giving up 35.6 points per contest which puts them at 12th in the conference and 112th in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in Division 1. They are allowing 281.4 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bruins sit in 10th in the conference. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 178 total points. In terms of rushing yards, they are allowing 142.8 yards per contest ranking them 60th in college football and 8th in the Pac-12 Conference. In 2019, they have conceded 714 yards rushing and 5 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Beavers/Bruins college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Beavers

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