Ole Miss vs Auburn NCAA Football Picks and Tips 11/2/2019

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Jordan-Hare Stadium

Bo Nix and the Auburn Tigers play the Ole Miss Rebels at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday, November 2, 2019. Ole Miss opens this matchup as 20-point dogs. The Rebels are 4-4-0 ATS and 4-4-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 3-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-1-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Ole Miss Rebels went up against the Texas A&M Aggies and lost 24-17. Running the show from under center for the Rebels was Matt Corral who went 10/17 with 124 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He gave away 1 interception during the game. Jerrion Ealy led the team on the ground for that game. He had a long run of 69 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He ran for 80 yards via 6 carries which meant he averaged 13.3 yards per run. Elijah Moore was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 59 yards on 5 receptions. He averaged 11.8 yards per catch for that game. The Rebels ran the ball 44 times and racked up a total of 250 yards giving them an average of 5.7 yards per carry. Overall, the Rebels racked up a total of 22 first downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 65 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. Overall, they ran 73 plays which gave them a total of 405 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Ole Miss gave up 16 catches on 28 tries for a total of 172 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. For this contest, they allowed 340 yards and earned 2 takeaways. Against the run, the Rebels gave up 168 yards on 35 runs which is an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 3-5 this year. For total yards, they currently sit at 3rd in the SEC and 31st in Division 1 with 3,474 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 25.9 points per contest, putting them 89th in Division 1. As a team, they have an average of 232.6 yards on the ground per contest which is 2nd in the conference. The Rebels have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 27 points per contest ranking them 10th in the SEC. When it comes to yards rushing, Ole Miss is giving up 124.9 yards per contest which has them at 4th in the Southeastern Conference and 32nd in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.7 yards per rush putting them 6th in the SEC and 40th in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 999 yards rushing through 8 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Rebels have allowed 1,613 yards. Teams are completing 63.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.6 yards per try.

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In their last outing, the Auburn Tigers went up against the LSU Tigers and ended up taking the loss by a score of 23-20. D.J. Williams led the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 70 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He scurried for 130 yards via 13 carries which had him averaging 10.0 yards per carry. Seth Williams was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 65 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 16.3 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Tigers was Bo Nix who went 15/35 with 157 yards through the air and added 1 TD. He gave away 1 interception during the game. The Tigers ended up running the ball 33 times and earned 130 yards which had them averaging 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they finished with a total of 68 plays for a total of 287 yards. For the contest, the Tigers racked up a total of 16 first downs and they had 15 penalties for 98 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. When it comes to their defensive performance, Auburn conceded 32 catches on 42 attempts totaling 321 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.2%. Against the run, the Tigers conceded 187 yards on 46 runs which gave them an average of 4.1 yards per attempt allowed. Overall, they conceded 508 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

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The Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 6-2. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Tigers have one of the best offenses in college football. Auburn is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 226.4 yards on the ground per game, putting them 20th in college football. As a team, they have a total of 1,811 rushing yards through 8 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Tigers average 415.4 yards per game overall which has them at 55th in D-1 and 7th in the Southeastern Conference. The Tigers are allowing 17.9 points per contest which puts them at 4th in the conference and 14th in college football. In discussing points given up, they have given up 143 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are conceding 105.9 yards per contest ranking them 15th in D-1 and 3rd in the SEC. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 847 yards rushing and 6.4 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road units in D-1. They are conceding 236.8 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Tigers currently sit at 10th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rebels +20

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