Oklahoma vs Baylor NCAA Football Picks 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

McLane Stadium

Jalen Hurts and the Oklahoma Sooners are headed to McLane Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma opens this game as 10-point favorites. The Sooners are 4-5-0 ATS and 5-3-1 when betting on the total. The Bears are 5-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Oklahoma Sooners played the Iowa State Cyclones and earned the win by a score of 42-41. Kennedy Brooks led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 48 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 132 yards by way of 15 carries which gave him an average of 8.8 yards per carry. CeeDee Lamb was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 167 yards on 8 catches. He notched an average of 20.9 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Sooners was Jalen Hurts who went 18/26 with 273 yards passing and tossed 3 TD's. He tossed 1 pick in the game. The Sooners ran the football 40 times and earned 228 yards which had them averaging 5.7 yards per rush. In the game, they ran 66 plays which added up to 501 yards. For the game, the Sooners racked up 24 first downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 63 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, Oklahoma allowed 19 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 282 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.3%. In the running game, the Sooners allowed 197 yards on 37 runs which gave them an average of 5.3 yards per run allowed. In the game, they conceded 479 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways.

The Sooners step onto the field holding a record of 8-1 this season. For total yardage, they rank 1st in the Big 12 Conference and 3rd in the nation with 5,290 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 48.4 points per contest, putting them 2nd in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 249.7 rushing yards per game which is 2nd in the Big 12 Conference. The Sooners have one of the average defenses in the nation, allowing 25 points per contest putting them 4th in the Big 12. When it comes to passing yards, the Sooners have conceded 3,043 yards. Teams are completing 61.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.8 yards per try. When talking about yards rushing, Oklahoma is giving up 145.9 yards per contest which has them at 4th in the Big 12 and 52nd in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per carry putting them 5th in the Big 12 and 60th in college football overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,313 rushing yards through 9 games.

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In their last contest, the Baylor Bears went up against the TCU Horned Frogs and ended up getting the victory by a score of 29-23. Leading the way at QB for the Bears was Charlie Brewer who went 27/41 with 195 yards passing and added 2 touchdowns. He gave away 1 interception during the game. Charlie Brewer paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 26 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the contest. He ran for 41 yards by way of 15 carries which meant he was running for 2.7 yards per run. Denzel Mims led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 57 yards on 6 receptions. He had an average of 9.5 yards per catch for the game. The Bears ended up rushing 33 times and racked up 99 yards which gave them an average of 3.0 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, they ran 74 plays which added up to 294 yards. On the day, the Bears got 22 first downs and they had 10 penalties for 67 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. When discussing the defense, Baylor gave up 14 completions on 32 attempts for a total of 140 yards, and a completion percentage of 43.8%. In the running game, the Bears gave up 168 yards on 49 carries which is an average of 3.4 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 308 yards and earned 3 turnovers.

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The Bears head into this matchup 9-0. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Bears have one of the best offenses in the nation. Baylor has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 188.2 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 41st in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 1,694 rushing yards through 9 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Bears average 459.6 yards per contest overall which has them at 25th in college football and 6th in the Big 12. The Bears are giving up 19 points per contest ranking them 1st in the Big 12 and 17th in the country. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in the nation. They are giving up 210.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bears currently sit at 4th in the conference. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 171 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are giving up 127.1 yards per contest ranking them 30th in Division 1 and 1st in the conference. This year, they have conceded a total of 1,144 rushing yards and 11.7 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Sooners/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Sooners -10

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