Ohio State vs Michigan Expert College Football Picks 11/30/2019

Game: Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, MI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan -3

Total/Over-Under: 54

Shea Patterson and the Michigan Wolverines play the Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Stadium on Saturday, November 30, 2019. Michigan opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The Buckeyes are 8-3-0 ATS and 5-5-1 when betting on the total. The Wolverines are 8-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Ohio State Buckeyes played the Penn State Nittany Lions and ended up getting the win by a score of 28-17. Leading the way at QB for the Buckeyes was Justin Fields who went 16/22 with 188 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. J.K. Dobbins led the team on the ground during the game. He tore off a long run of 22 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns during the game. He rushed for 157 yards via 36 carries which meant he averaged 4.4 yards per tote. K.J. Hill was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 46 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 11.5 yards per catch during the game. The Buckeyes ended up running the ball 61 times and totaled 229 yards earning them an average of 3.8 yards per carry. In the game, they finished with a total of 83 plays which gave them a total of 417 yards. In the game, the Buckeyes earned a total of 27 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 25 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When it comes to their defensive performance, Ohio State gave up 16 completions on 28 attempts totaling 128 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. For the game, they conceded 227 yards and forced 1 turnover. On the ground, the Buckeyes gave up 99 yards on 37 tries which gave them an average of 2.7 yards per attempt allowed.

The Buckeyes come into this game with a record of 11-0 this season. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 49.4 points per game, which has them at 1st in college football. As a team, they have an average of 282.7 yards on the ground per game which is 1st in the conference. For total yards, they currently sit at 1st in the Big Ten and 6th in college football with 5,841 yards. The Buckeyes have one of the top tier defenses in D-1, giving up 10.5 points per contest which has them at 1st in the Big Ten. In regard to yards on the ground, Ohio State is giving up 91.5 yards per contest which has them at 2nd in the Big Ten Conference and 5th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.6 yards per rush putting them 2nd in the Big Ten and 4th in the nation overall. In total, they have conceded 1,007 yards rushing through 11 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Buckeyes have conceded 2,731 yards. Teams are completing 51.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 4.9 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Michigan Wolverines took on the Indiana Hoosiers and won 39-14. Leading the way at QB for the Wolverines was Shea Patterson who went 20/32 with 366 yards through the air and added 5 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception during the game. Zach Charbonnet led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 22 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 46 yards by way of 8 carries which meant he was running for 5.8 yards per run. Nico Collins was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 165 yards on 6 receptions. He averaged 27.5 yards per reception for the game. The Wolverines ran the ball a total of 29 times and earned 87 yards earning them an average of 3.0 yards per carry. On the day, the Wolverines totaled 22 1st downs and they had a total of 6 infractions for 49 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In the game, they ran 61 plays for 453 yards. In terms of defense, Michigan allowed 18 catches on 30 attempts for a total of 224 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. In the running game, the Wolverines allowed 97 yards on 37 carries which gave them an average of 2.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they conceded a total of 321 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

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The Wolverines come into this game with a record of 9-2. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Wolverines have one of the best offenses in college football. Michigan has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 155.7 rushing yards per game, which has them at 78th in Division 1. As a unit, they have a total of 1,713 rushing yards through 11 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Wolverines average 403.3 yards per game overall putting them 69th in D-1 and 7th in the Big Ten. The Wolverines are conceding 16.2 points per contest which puts them at 5th in the conference and 10th in college football. In regard to points given up, they have given up 178 total points. When it comes to rushing yards, they are conceding 107.1 yards per contest ranking them 13th in Division 1 and 5th in the Big Ten Conference. This season, they have conceded 1,178 yards rushing and 14.3 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the elite units in the country. They are allowing 161.1 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Wolverines sit in 2nd in the Big Ten.

Who will win tonight's Buckeyes/Wolverines NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wolverines -3

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