Ohio vs Bowling Green Expert College Football Picks 11/19/2019

Game: Ohio Bobcats vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Week 13

Location: Doyt Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Bowling Green +19.5

Total/Over-Under: 58

Nathan Rourke and the Ohio Bobcats head to Doyt Perry Stadium on Tuesday where they'll take on the Bowling Green Falcons. Bowling Green opens this matchup as 19.5-point dogs. The Bobcats are 2-8-0 ATS and 5-5-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 2-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-7-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Ohio Bobcats played the Western Michigan Broncos and lost 37-34. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bobcats was Nathan Rourke who went 20/29 with 225 yards passing and completed 2 touchdowns. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Nathan Rourke led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 22 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for 93 yards by way of 13 carries which gave him an average of 7.2 yards per tote. Ryan Luehrman was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 52 yards on 4 catches. He notched an average of 13.0 yards per catch for the game. The Bobcats ran the ball a total of 35 times and racked up a total of 216 yards which gave them an average of 6.2 yards per run. On the day, the Bobcats racked up 24 1st downs and they had a total of 3 infractions for 25 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. Overall, they ran 64 plays which added up to 441 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Ohio gave up 23 catches on 34 tries totaling 322 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.6%. For this contest, they allowed 477 yards but finished the game without a turnover. Against the run, the Bobcats gave up 155 yards on 49 attempts which means they had an average of 3.2 yards per run allowed.

The Bobcats head into this game 4-6 in 2019. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 29.8 points per game, ranking them 66th in college football. As a team, they have an average of 200.5 yards on the ground per contest which is 5th in the Mid-American Conference. For total yards, they rank 5th in the Mid-American Conference and 65th in college football with 4,108 yards. The Bobcats have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 29.7 points per game which has them at 7th in the Mid-American Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Bobcats have allowed 2,103 yards. Opponents are completing 62.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.8 yards per attempt. When talking about yards on the ground, Ohio is allowing 192.6 yards per game putting them 7th in the Mid-American Conference and 97th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per rush ranking them 9th in the conference and 112th in D-1 overall. In total, they have allowed 1,926 yards rushing through 10 contests.

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In their last game, the Bowling Green Falcons played the Miami RedHawks and lost 44-3. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Grant Loy who went 11/27 with 90 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He threw 3 picks on the day. Bryson Denley paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 53 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 105 yards via 14 carries which meant he was running for 7.5 yards per carry. Bryson Denley led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 33 yards on 3 receptions. He averaged 11.0 yards per catch for the game. The Falcons ran the ball 45 times and earned 185 yards which had them averaging 4.1 yards per attempt. On the day, the Falcons got 12 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 25 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. Overall, they ran 72 plays which gave them a total of 275 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Bowling Green allowed 10 catches on 16 throws totaling 238 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. On the ground, the Falcons allowed 187 yards on 36 attempts which gave them an average of 5.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed. On the day, they gave up 425 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 3-7. Bowling Green has made teams respect their running game by averaging 167.6 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 59th in D-1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,676 rushing yards through 10 contests, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Falcons average 323.3 yards per contest overall putting them 118th in the nation and 10th in the conference. The Falcons are allowing 34.8 points per game ranking them 11th in the Mid-American Conference and 116th in D-1. In discussing points given up, they have given up 348 total points. In terms of rushing yards, they are allowing 211.7 yards per contest ranking them 118th in the nation and 11th in the MAC. In 2019, they have given up 2,117 rushing yards and 23 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road units in Division 1. They are allowing 229.4 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Falcons are currently ranked 6th in the Mid-American Conference.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +19.5

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