Notre Dame vs Duke Expert College Football Picks 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Wallace Wade Stadium

Wallace Wade Stadium is the venue where Quentin Harris and the Duke Blue Devils will take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday. Duke opens this contest as 7.5-point underdogs. The Fighting Irish are 4-4-0 ATS and 3-5-0 when betting on the total. The Blue Devils are 6-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish faced the Virginia Tech Hokies and won 21-20. Leading the way at QB for the Fighting Irish was Ian Book who went 29/53 with 336 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He tossed 2 interceptions in the game. Ian Book led the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 13 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He racked up a total of 50 yards via 13 carries which meant he averaged 3.8 yards per tote. Chase Claypool led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 118 yards on 8 catches. He had an average of 14.8 yards per catch for that game. The Fighting Irish ran the football 36 times and added 108 yards earning them an average of 3.0 yards per run. In all, they ran 89 plays for a total of 449 yards. Overall, the Fighting Irish earned a total of 25 first downs and they had a total of 7 infractions for 75 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In terms of defense, Notre Dame gave up 9 completions on 28 throws totaling 139 yards, and a completion percentage of 32.1%. In the running game, the Fighting Irish gave up 101 yards on 36 carries which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per run allowed. In the game, they allowed 240 yards and forced 2 turnovers.

The Fighting Irish come into this game with a record of 6-2 for this season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 33.8 points per contest, which has them at 38th in D-1. As a unit, they have an average of 163.4 rushing yards per contest which is 2nd among Independent teams. For total yards, they sit in 2nd among D-1 Independent teams and 78th in D-1 with 3,353 yards. The Fighting Irish have one of the best defenses in Division 1, giving up 20.8 points per contest ranking them 1st among Independent teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Fighting Irish have allowed 1,444 yards. Opponents are completing 55.7% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. In terms of rushing yards, Notre Dame is allowing 165.1 yards per contest putting them 1st among FBS Independent teams and 73rd in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per carry ranking them 1st among D-1 Independent teams and 64th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 1,321 yards rushing through 8 games.

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In their last contest, the Duke Blue Devils played the North Carolina Tar Heels and took the loss by a score of 20-17. Deon Jackson led the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 25 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 91 yards on 19 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. Scott Bracey led the team in receiving yardage by earning 62 yards on 5 catches. He earned an average of 12.4 yards per catch during the game. Running the show from under center for the Blue Devils was Quentin Harris who went 22/39 with 229 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 interception in the game. The Blue Devils ran the ball a total of 37 times and added 100 yards giving them an average of 2.7 yards per attempt. For the contest, the Blue Devils totaled 22 1st downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 19 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the day, they ran 80 plays which added up to 329 yards. In terms of defense, Duke gave up 10 completions on 26 tries totaling 227 yards, and a completion percentage of 38.5%. In the running game, the Blue Devils gave up 205 yards on 45 tries which means they had an average of 4.6 yards per attempt allowed. Overall, they conceded 432 yards and forced 3 takeaways.

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The Blue Devils head into this game 4-4. Duke has made teams respect their running game by averaging 166.1 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 65th in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 1,329 yards rushing through 8 contests, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Blue Devils average 362.9 yards per game overall putting them 96th in the nation and 13th in the ACC. The Blue Devils are giving up 25.9 points per contest ranking them 7th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 56th in Division 1. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 207 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are conceding 145.1 yards per game which puts them at 54th in Division 1 and 7th in the conference. This season, they have allowed 1,161 rushing yards and 10.4 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road units in D-1. They are allowing 206.6 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Blue Devils are ranked 6th in the ACC.

Who will win tonight's Fighting Irish/Blue Devils NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Devils +7.5

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