Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Iowa State Cyclones Pick, Odds, Camping World Bowl Prediction 12/28/2019
Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Iowa State Cyclones
Date: Saturday, December 28, 2019
Camping World Bowl
Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, FL
TV: ABC
Odds/Point Spread: Iowa State +5.5
Total/Over-Under: 56.5
Brock Purdy and the Iowa State Cyclones host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Camping World Stadium on Saturday, December 28, 2019 in the Camping World Bowl. Notre Dame opens this game as 5.5-point favorites. The Fighting Irish are 8-4-0 ATS and 5-7-0 when betting on the total. The Cyclones are 5-6-1 when wagering on the over/under and 5-6-1 against the spread.
In their last game, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish went up against the Stanford Cardinal and won by a score of 45-24. Tony Jones Jr. paced the team on the ground for that game. He broke a long run for 11 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 50 yards on 14 carries which meant he was running for 3.6 yards per run. Cole Kmet was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 77 yards on 5 catches. He notched an average of 15.4 yards per reception for that game. Leading the way at QB for the Fighting Irish was Ian Book who went 17/30 with 255 yards through the air and added 4 touchdowns. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Fighting Irish ran the football 37 times and totaled 190 yards giving them an average of 5.1 yards per rush. Overall, the Fighting Irish had a total of 24 1st downs and they had a total of 11 penalties for 95 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. On the day, they ran 67 plays which gave them a total of 445 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Notre Dame conceded 28 catches on 47 tries for a total of 276 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.6%. In the running game, the Fighting Irish conceded 118 yards on 28 carries which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per run allowed. On the day, they allowed 394 yards and forced 2 turnovers.
The Fighting Irish head into this game 10-2 this season. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 37.1 points per game, putting them 13th in college football. As a unit, they are averaging 178.3 rushing yards per game which is 2nd among FBS Independent teams. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 3rd among Independent teams and 46th in college football with 5,176 yards. The Fighting Irish have one of the top tier defenses in D-1, allowing 18.7 points per game putting them 1st among Independent teams. When talking about rushing yards, Notre Dame is allowing 161.9 yards per game ranking them 2nd among Independent teams and 72nd in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4 yards per rush ranking them 1st among D-1 Independent teams and 56th in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,943 rushing yards through 12 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Fighting Irish have conceded 1,964 yards. Opponents are completing 54.1% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.7 yards per attempt.
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In their last outing, the Iowa State Cyclones played the Kansas State Wildcats and were defeated 27-17. Running the show from under center for the Cyclones was Brock Purdy who went 15/30 with 185 yards passing and tossed 1 TD. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Breece Hall paced the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 20 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He ran for 59 yards via 18 carries which had him averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Tarique Milton was the receiving yardage leader by earning 78 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 19.5 yards per catch for the game. The Cyclones rushed the ball a total of 24 times and totaled 51 yards earning them an average of 2.1 yards per run. Overall, they totaled 54 plays for 236 yards. In the game, the Cyclones racked up a total of 10 1st downs and they had a total of 8 infractions for 55 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. On the defensive side of the ball, Iowa State allowed 5 catches on 12 tries totaling 57 yards, and a completion percentage of 41.7%. Against the run, the Cyclones allowed 231 yards on 49 runs which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per attempt allowed. For this contest, they allowed a total of 288 yards and earned 2 takeaways.
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The Cyclones come into this matchup with a record of 7-5. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Cyclones have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Iowa State needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 140.7 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 96th in college football. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,688 yards rushing through 12 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Cyclones average 459 yards per contest overall which has them at 21st in Division 1 and 5th in the Big 12 Conference. The Cyclones are allowing 25.3 points per game which puts them at 4th in the conference and 52nd in the nation. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 304 total points. In regard to rushing yards, they are giving up 135.3 yards per game which puts them at 35th in Division 1 and 2nd in the conference. For this year, they have conceded 1,624 yards on the ground and 10.8 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in college football. They are giving up 226.8 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Cyclones sit in 5th in the conference.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Cyclones +5.5 and over the total points
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Additional Resources:
Iowa State Cyclones - Twitter
Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Twitter