North Texas vs Southern Miss Predictions Against the Spread

Saturday, October 12, 2019

M. M. Roberts Stadium

Jack Abraham and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles host the North Texas Mean Green at M. M. Roberts Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2019. North Texas opens this game as 4.5-point underdogs. The Mean Green are 2-3-0 ATS and 3-2-0 when betting on the total. The Golden Eagles are 2-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-3-0 against the spread.

Key North Texas Mean Green Injuries

09/22/19 WR Rico Bussey Jr. ACL is out for season

Key Southern Miss Golden Eagles Injuries

09/14/19 RB Trivenskey Mosley Knee is out indefinitely
07/08/19 WR Quez Watkins Academics is out indefinitely

The last time they took the field, the North Texas Mean Green played the Houston Cougars and were beaten 46-25. Tre Siggers led the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 41 yards and he notched 1 touchdown during the game. He ran for a total of 83 yards by way of 14 carries which gave him an average of 5.9 yards per tote. Michael Lawrence led the team in receiving yardage by earning 120 yards on 9 receptions. He earned an average of 13.3 yards per reception during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Mean Green was Mason Fine who went 35/55 with 353 yards passing and added 2 touchdowns. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Mean Green ran the ball 30 times and earned a total of 96 yards which had them averaging 3.2 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 88 plays which gave them a total of 456 yards. For the contest, the Mean Green racked up 20 1st downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 57 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When discussing the defense, North Texas conceded 16 catches on 20 attempts totaling 124 yards, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. For this contest, they gave up a total of 370 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. On the ground, the Mean Green conceded 246 yards on 30 carries allowing their opponent an average of 8.2 yards per attempt allowed.

The Mean Green head into this matchup 2-3 for this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 33 points per game, ranking them 44th in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 181.6 yards on the ground per contest which is 5th in the conference. For total yards, they currently sit at 1st in C-USA and 49th in D-1 with 2,257 yards. The Mean Green have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 30.4 points per contest putting them 8th in Conference USA. When it comes to yards rushing, North Texas is giving up 191.2 yards per contest ranking them 11th in Conference USA and 102nd in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per carry which has them at 9th in C-USA and 103rd in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 956 rushing yards through 5 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Mean Green have allowed 1,349 yards. Teams are completing 58.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.4 yards per try.

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In their last game, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles played the UTEP Miners and won 31-13. Leading the way at QB for the Golden Eagles was Jack Abraham who went 19/28 with 351 yards passing and completed 3 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks. Kevin Perkins paced the team on the ground during the game. He tore off a long run of 29 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for a total of 65 yards via 11 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.9 yards per run. Quez Watkins was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 97 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 48.5 yards per reception during the game. The Golden Eagles ran the ball a total of 36 times and generated 169 yards earning them an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, they totaled 64 plays for 520 yards. For the contest, the Golden Eagles totaled 21 1st downs and they had a total of 8 penalties for 70 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. When discussing the defense, Southern Miss gave up 14 catches on 28 attempts for a total of 168 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. On the day, they conceded a total of 294 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. Against the run, the Golden Eagles gave up 126 yards on 25 tries giving the other team an average of 5.0 yards per carry allowed.

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The Golden Eagles step onto the field holding a record of 3-2. Southern Miss hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 107.8 rushing yards per game, ranking them 116th in D-1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 539 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Golden Eagles average 421 yards per game overall which has them at 66th in the country and 6th in the conference. The Golden Eagles are giving up 30.4 points per game ranking them 9th in Conference USA and 98th in D-1. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 152 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are allowing 123.2 yards per game which puts them at 41st in the country and 4th in the conference. For this season, they have given up a total of 616 yards rushing and 8 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in college football. They are conceding 267 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Golden Eagles currently sit at 13th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Mean Green/Golden Eagles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mean Green +4.5

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