North Carolina vs NC State NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 11/30/2019

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium in Wake County, NC

TV: ACC Network

Odds/Point Spread: NC State +7.5

Total/Over-Under: 55

Sam Howell and the North Carolina Tar Heels travel to Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the NC State Wolfpack. The odds on this game have North Carolina as 7.5-point favorites. The Tar Heels are 6-5-0 ATS and 6-5-0 when betting on the total. The Wolfpack are 5-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-9-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the North Carolina Tar Heels went up against the Mercer Bears and won 56-7. Michael Carter led the team on the ground for that game. He had a long run of 60 yards and he tallied 3 TD's for the game. He ran for a total of 159 yards via 9 carries which means he ran for an average of 17.7 yards per carry. Dyami Brown was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 83 yards on 3 receptions. He earned an average of 27.7 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Tar Heels was Sam Howell who went 10/13 with 152 yards through the air and tossed 3 TD's. He ended the game without an interception. The Tar Heels ran the ball 41 times and totaled 376 yards earning them an average of 9.2 yards per carry. Overall, they ran 56 plays for 537 yards. In the game, the Tar Heels had a total of 21 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 50 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. When it comes to their defensive performance, North Carolina gave up 21 completions on 36 tries for a total of 161 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. In the running game, the Tar Heels gave up 67 yards on 34 runs which gave them an average of 2.0 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they gave up a total of 228 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Tar Heels come into this game with a record of 5-6 for 2019. For total yardage, they sit in 4th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 25th in Division 1 with 5,008 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 30.4 points per game, putting them 60th in Division 1. As a unit, they have an average of 184.4 yards on the ground per game which is 4th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Tar Heels have one of the average defenses in the nation, allowing 25.9 points per game ranking them 6th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. When talking about rushing yards, North Carolina is giving up 150.8 yards per game ranking them 7th in the ACC and 63rd in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4 yards per rush which has them at 8th in the ACC and 50th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 1,659 rushing yards through 11 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Tar Heels have conceded 2,980 yards. Opponents are completing 61.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.3 yards per attempt.

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In their last contest, the NC State Wolfpack went up against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and took the loss by a score of 28-26. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wolfpack was Devin Leary who went 19/31 with 227 yards through the air and threw 1 touchdown. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Zonovan Knight led the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 19 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the game. He racked up a total of 100 yards via 18 carries which gave him an average of 5.6 yards per carry. Tabari Hines led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 88 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 22.0 yards per catch for that contest. The Wolfpack ended up rushing 49 times and totaled 230 yards which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per carry. Overall, the Wolfpack earned 27 1st downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 21 yards which means they were extremely disciplined in this game. In all, they ran 80 plays for 457 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, NC State gave up 7 catches on 15 tries for a total of 129 yards, and a completion percentage of 46.7%. On the ground, the Wolfpack gave up 266 yards on 43 tries which is an average of 6.2 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they conceded 395 yards and earned 2 turnovers.

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The Wolfpack come into this game with a record of 4-7. NC State is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 154.5 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 80th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,700 rushing yards through 11 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Wolfpack average 390.2 yards per contest overall putting them 77th in D-1 and 9th in the ACC. The Wolfpack are giving up 29.1 points per contest which puts them at 9th in the ACC and 74th in D-1. In discussing points given up, they have given up 320 total points. In discussing yards on the ground, they are giving up 140.1 yards per contest ranking them 42nd in college football and 6th in the conference. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 1,541 yards rushing and 18.7 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middling groups in the country. They are allowing 238.7 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Wolfpack are ranked 8th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Wolfpack college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wolfpack +7.5

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