New Mexico vs Nevada NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 11/2/2019

Saturday, November 2, 2019

MacKay Stadium

Carson Strong and the Nevada Wolf Pack host the New Mexico Lobos at MacKay Stadium on Saturday, November 2, 2019. Nevada opens this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. The Lobos are 3-5-0 ATS and 4-4-0 when betting on the total. The Wolf Pack are 4-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-5-1 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the New Mexico Lobos went up against the Hawaii Warriors and took the loss by a score of 45-31. Ahmari Davis paced the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 67 yards and he added 2 touchdowns for the contest. He scurried for 200 yards by way of 16 carries which meant he was running for 12.5 yards per carry. Jordan Kress led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 100 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 25.0 yards per reception for that game. Running the show from under center for the Lobos was Tevaka Tuioti who went 23/40 with 293 yards through the air and completed 2 touchdowns. He threw 2 picks in the game. The Lobos ended up running the ball 31 times and added 207 yards giving them an average of 6.7 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 71 plays for a total of 500 yards. For the contest, the Lobos got 23 1st downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 34 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the defensive side of the ball, New Mexico conceded 21 completions on 40 attempts totaling 323 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.5%. On the day, they gave up a total of 578 yards and earned 1 turnover. In the running game, the Lobos conceded 255 yards on 34 tries which is an average of 7.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Lobos come into this game with a record of 2-6 for the 2019 season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 25.1 points per game, which has them at 92nd in the nation. As a unit, they have an average of 211.8 rushing yards per game which is 3rd in the conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 3rd in the MWC and 37th in the nation with 3,425 yards. The Lobos have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, allowing 37.6 points per contest which has them at 11th in the Mountain West. In regard to rushing yards, New Mexico is giving up 160.5 yards per game putting them 8th in the conference and 71st in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per carry ranking them 7th in the Mountain West and 71st in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,284 rushing yards through 8 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Lobos have allowed 1,731 yards. Teams are completing 62.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 9.2 yards per try.

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In their last outing, the Nevada Wolf Pack took on the Wyoming Cowboys and took the defeat by a score of 31-3. Running the show from under center for the Wolf Pack was Carson Strong who went 26/40 with 247 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He tossed 1 pick during the game. Devonte Lee led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 31 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for 38 yards via 3 carries which had him averaging 12.7 yards per run. Romeo Doubs was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 98 yards on 5 catches. He averaged 19.6 yards per catch for the game. The Wolf Pack ended up rushing 28 times and generated 81 yards which earned them an average of 2.9 yards per rush. For the contest, the Wolf Pack racked up a total of 17 1st downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 30 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. Overall, they ran 73 plays for a total of 335 yards. In terms of defense, Nevada gave up 9 completions on 19 attempts for a total of 221 yards, and a completion percentage of 47.4%. On the ground, the Wolf Pack gave up 258 yards on 44 tries which is an average of 5.9 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they allowed a total of 479 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record of 4-4. In discussing the offensive production, the Wolf Pack have one of the most lackluster offenses in Division 1. Nevada needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 128.4 rushing yards per game, putting them 108th in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,027 yards rushing through 8 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Wolf Pack average 357.3 yards per contest overall which has them at 99th in D-1 and 10th in the conference. The Wolf Pack are conceding 37.6 points per contest ranking them 12th in the Mountain West and 126th in the nation. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 301 points in total. In discussing rushing yards, they are giving up 151.3 yards per game which puts them at 58th in D-1 and 6th in the conference. For this year, they have conceded 1,210 yards on the ground and 12 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in college football. They are conceding 272.1 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Wolf Pack are ranked 10th in the MWC.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Lobos +6.5 and under the total points

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