New Mexico vs Boise State NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Albertsons Stadium

Albertsons Stadium is the site where Chase Cord and the Boise State Broncos will play the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday. The odds on this matchup have Boise State as 28-point favorites. The Lobos are 3-6-0 ATS and 4-5-0 when betting on the total. The Broncos are 5-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-4-1 against the spread.

In their last contest, the New Mexico Lobos took on the Nevada Wolf Pack and took the defeat by a score of 21-10. Ahmari Davis led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 19 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for a total of 80 yards by way of 15 carries which meant he was running for 5.3 yards per carry. Marcus Williams was the receiving yardage leader by earning 74 yards on 6 catches. He averaged 12.3 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Lobos was Tevaka Tuioti who went 19/36 with 237 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Lobos ran the ball 29 times and racked up a total of 109 yards which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. In all, they ran 65 plays for a total of 346 yards. For the game, the Lobos had a total of 17 first downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 70 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, New Mexico allowed 28 catches on 40 throws for a total of 305 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. On the ground, the Lobos allowed 64 yards on 34 carries which gave them an average of 1.9 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they gave up a total of 369 yards but didn't force any takeaways.

The Lobos head into this game 2-7 for this year. For total yards, they sit in 5th in the conference and 64th in the country with 3,771 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 23.4 points per contest, ranking them 103rd in the country. As a team, they are averaging 200.3 yards on the ground per contest which is 3rd in the MWC. The Lobos have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, giving up 35.8 points per contest putting them 11th in the Mountain West. In discussing yards on the ground, New Mexico is giving up 149.8 yards per game which has them at 6th in the Mountain West and 57th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per carry putting them 6th in the Mountain West and 61st in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 1,348 yards rushing through 9 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Lobos have allowed 1,968 yards. Teams are completing 63.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 9.1 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Boise State Broncos faced the Wyoming Cowboys and earned the victory by a score of 20-17. John Hightower paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 22 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 38 yards by way of 2 carries which meant he averaged 19.0 yards per run. Khalil Shakir was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 70 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 10.0 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Broncos was Chase Cord who went 19/30 with 190 yards passing and added 1 TD. He walked away with 1 interception in the game. The Broncos ran the ball 28 times and generated 91 yards which gave them an average of 3.3 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the Broncos totaled 15 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 40 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the day, they finished with a total of 59 plays for a total of 285 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Boise State gave up 15 catches on 23 tries for a total of 160 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.2%. In the game, they allowed 283 yards but didn't force any takeaways. In the running game, the Broncos gave up 123 yards on 44 attempts which means they had an average of 2.8 yards per run allowed.

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The Broncos head into this matchup 8-1. Boise State has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 158.4 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 73rd in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,426 yards rushing through 9 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Broncos average 417.1 yards per game overall putting them 60th in the country and 6th in the Mountain West. The Broncos are conceding 22.7 points per game ranking them 4th in the conference and 39th in the nation. When talking about points given up, they have given up 204 points in total. In regard to yards on the ground, they are giving up 104.4 yards per game which puts them at 14th in college football and 4th in the Mountain West. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 940 yards rushing and 9 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in the country. They are allowing 208.3 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Broncos are ranked 4th in the MWC.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lobos +28

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