New Mexico State vs Ole Miss NCAA Football Picks and Tips 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

John Rhys Plumlee and the Ole Miss Rebels host the New Mexico State Aggies at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday, November 9, 2019. New Mexico State opens this matchup as 30-point dogs. The Aggies are 3-5-0 ATS and 3-5-0 when betting on the total. The Rebels are 4-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the New Mexico State Aggies took on the Georgia Southern Eagles and were beaten 41-7. Running the show from under center for the Aggies was Josh Adkins who went 13/23 with 59 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away with 2 interceptions in the game. Jason Huntley paced the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 56 yards and he tallied 1 TD for the game. He rushed for a total of 133 yards on 24 carries which meant he was running for 5.5 yards per carry. Jason Huntley led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 11 yards on 4 receptions. He had an average of 2.8 yards per reception for that contest. The Aggies ended up running the ball 54 times and generated 209 yards which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. In all, they ran 77 plays for 268 yards. In the game, the Aggies got 15 1st downs and they had 1 infraction for 5 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. In terms of defense, New Mexico State gave up 2 completions on 4 throws totaling 3 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the running game, the Aggies gave up 403 yards on 56 carries which is an average of 7.2 yards per run allowed. On the day, they gave up 406 yards and earned 3 takeaways.

The Aggies head into this game 0-8 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they rank 8th in the conference and 113th in the country with 2,760 yards. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 18 points per contest, ranking them 119th in the country. As a team, they have an average of 118.4 yards on the ground per contest which is 10th in the Sun Belt. The Aggies have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 42.4 points per game putting them 11th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to rushing yards, New Mexico State is allowing 265.1 yards per game putting them 11th in the Sun Belt and 129th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 6.3 yards per rush which has them at 11th in the Sun Belt and 129th in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 2,121 yards rushing through 8 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Aggies have allowed 1,813 yards. Opponents are completing 64% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.6 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Ole Miss Rebels took on the Auburn Tigers and were beaten 20-14. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Rebels was John Rhys Plumlee who went 11/21 with 86 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He tossed 1 pick on the day. John Rhys Plumlee paced the team in rushing for that game. He tore off a long run of 20 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He ran for a total of 92 yards on 17 carries which gave him an average of 5.4 yards per carry. Snoop Conner was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 33 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 16.5 yards per reception for that game. The Rebels ran the ball a total of 42 times and added 167 yards which earned them an average of 4.0 yards per attempt. For the game, they ran 69 plays for a total of 266 yards. For the game, the Rebels got 16 first downs and they had 2 penalties for 25 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. When discussing the defense, Ole Miss allowed 30 completions on 44 attempts totaling 340 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.2%. In the running game, the Rebels allowed 167 yards on 46 tries which gave them an average of 3.6 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 507 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 3-6. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Rebels have an offense that could be called mediocre in D-1. Ole Miss has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 225.3 yards on the ground per game, putting them 17th in D-1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 2,028 rushing yards through 9 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Rebels average 415.6 yards per game overall ranking them 56th in D-1 and 7th in the conference. The Rebels are allowing 26.2 points per game which puts them at 11th in the conference and 60th in the country. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road units in the nation. They are allowing 290.6 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Rebels sit in 14th in the SEC. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 236 points in total. In terms of rushing yards, they are conceding 129.6 yards per game which puts them at 34th in the nation and 6th in the Southeastern Conference. In 2019, they have given up 1,166 rushing yards and 10.8 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +30

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