New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern Expert College Football Picks 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

Josh Adkins and the New Mexico State Aggies go to Allen E. Paulson Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Georgia Southern Eagles. The odds on this contest have Georgia Southern as 16-point favorites. The Aggies are 3-4-0 ATS and 3-4-0 when betting on the total. The Eagles are 4-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-5-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the New Mexico State Aggies played the Central Michigan Chippewas and took the loss by a score of 42-28. Running the show from under center for the Aggies was Josh Adkins who went 24/40 with 263 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. He gave away 1 pick on the day. Jason Huntley led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 37 yards and he tallied 1 TD in the game. He scurried for 67 yards by way of 10 carries which meant he averaged 6.7 yards per run. Tony Nicholson was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 86 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 12.3 yards per reception for the game. The Aggies ran the football 27 times and totaled 121 yards which earned them an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, the Aggies earned 18 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 24 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In the game, they ran 67 plays which added up to 384 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, New Mexico State gave up 14 catches on 24 attempts totaling 134 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. Overall, they gave up 486 yards and forced 1 turnover. Against the run, the Aggies gave up 352 yards on 56 carries which gave them an average of 6.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Aggies come into this game with a record of 0-7 this year. For total yards, they are currently ranked 8th in the Sun Belt and 96th in the nation with 2,492 yards. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 19.6 points per game, putting them 117th in the nation. As a team, they have an average of 105.4 yards on the ground per contest which is 10th in the Sun Belt. The Aggies have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 42.6 points per game putting them 11th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Aggies have conceded 1,754 yards. Opponents are completing 64.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.7 yards per try. In terms of yards on the ground, New Mexico State is allowing 245.4 yards per game putting them 11th in the Sun Belt and 129th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 6.1 yards per carry putting them 11th in the conference and 129th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,718 yards rushing through 7 contests.

Related: Gambling 101 Series on How Odds are Calculated - Watch Tony George Explain

In their last game, the Georgia Southern Eagles went up against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and won by a score of 30-27. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Eagles was Shai Werts who went 4/8 with 61 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. Wesley Kennedy III led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards and he tallied 2 touchdowns for the contest. He ran for 121 yards by way of 25 carries which meant he averaged 4.8 yards per run. Mark Michaud led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 45 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 22.5 yards per reception for the game. The Eagles ran the ball 64 times and racked up 300 yards which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, they ran 72 plays for 361 yards. In the game, the Eagles racked up 21 1st downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 65 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When discussing the defense, Georgia Southern allowed 11 completions on 14 tries for a total of 96 yards, and a completion percentage of 78.6%. Against the run, the Eagles allowed 132 yards on 47 tries which is an average of 2.8 yards per carry allowed. For the game, they conceded a total of 228 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

Related: Get college football predictions on all of today's games

The Eagles head into this game 3-3. Georgia Southern has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 236.2 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 16th in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 1,417 rushing yards through 6 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Eagles average 292.5 yards per contest overall putting them 127th in the country and 11th in the Sun Belt. The Eagles are allowing 31.5 points per game which puts them at 7th in the Sun Belt Conference and 100th in college football. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 189 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are conceding 121.2 yards per contest ranking them 33rd in the country and 2nd in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have conceded a total of 727 yards on the ground and 10.2 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre groups in college football. They are giving up 233.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Eagles are ranked 7th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Eagles NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Eagles -16

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn