New Mexico State vs Central Michigan Line and Predictions ATS

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Kelly/Shorts Stadium is the venue where David Moore and the Central Michigan Chippewas will play the New Mexico State Aggies on Saturday. New Mexico State opens this game as 10.5-point underdogs. The Aggies are 3-3-0 ATS and 2-4-0 when betting on the total. The Chippewas are 4-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-2-0 against the spread.

Key New Mexico State Aggies Injuries

09/18/19 WR Drew Dan Wrist is out for season

Key Central Michigan Chippewas Injuries

10/07/19 QB Quinten Dormady Knee is upgraded to probable, but may not start Saturday vs New Mexico State
09/26/19 TE Joel Wilson Leg is out indefinitely
09/06/19 QB George Pearson Leg is out for season
09/06/19 OL Romello Tarver Knee is out for season
09/06/19 TE Javon Gantt Knee is out for season
07/25/19 WR Brandon Childress Knee is out for season

The last time they played, the New Mexico State Aggies played the Liberty Flames and took the loss by a score of 20-13. Jason Huntley paced the team in rushing during the game. He broke a long run for 22 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for a total of 75 yards by way of 16 carries which meant he was running for 4.7 yards per carry. OJ Clark was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 76 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 15.2 yards per catch during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Aggies was Josh Adkins who went 20/30 with 265 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He tossed 2 picks during the game. The Aggies ended up rushing 34 times and earned 131 yards which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Aggies racked up a total of 23 first downs and they totaled 14 penalties for 153 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. On the day, they ran 65 plays which added up to 396 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, New Mexico State allowed 16 catches on 31 throws for a total of 173 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.6%. Against the run, the Aggies allowed 164 yards on 37 runs which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed 337 yards but weren't able to foce a turnover.

The Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 0-6 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they rank 7th in the Sun Belt and 75th in the nation with 2,108 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country averaging 18.2 points per game, putting them 120th in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 102.8 rushing yards per game which is 10th in the conference. The Aggies have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 42.7 points per game which has them at 11th in the Sun Belt. When it comes to yards through the air, the Aggies have conceded 1,491 yards. Opponents are completing 65% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.0 yards per try. When talking about rushing yards, New Mexico State is allowing 227.7 yards per game putting them 10th in the Sun Belt Conference and 125th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 6.1 yards per rush putting them 11th in the Sun Belt Conference and 129th in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,366 yards rushing through 6 games.

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The last time they took the field, the Central Michigan Chippewas played the Eastern Michigan Eagles and earned the win by a score of 42-16. Jonathan Ward led the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 86 yards and he added 2 TD's for the game. He rushed for a total of 132 yards on 12 carries which meant he averaged 11.0 yards per run. Kalil Pimpleton was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 112 yards on 5 catches. He notched an average of 22.4 yards per reception during the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Chippewas was David Moore who went 15/24 with 279 yards through the air and threw 2 TD's. He gave away 1 interception in the game. The Chippewas ended up running the ball 45 times and earned a total of 308 yards earning them an average of 6.8 yards per attempt. On the day, they ran 69 plays which added up to 587 yards. For the contest, the Chippewas totaled 24 1st downs and they totaled 10 penalties for 103 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Central Michigan conceded 22 completions on 38 attempts totaling 208 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.9%. In the running game, the Chippewas conceded 77 yards on 28 tries allowing their opponent an average of 2.8 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they allowed a total of 285 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

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The Chippewas come into this matchup with a record of 3-3. Central Michigan hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 151.8 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 78th in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 911 rushing yards through 6 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Chippewas average 401.5 yards per game overall which has them at 74th in college football and 4th in the MAC. The Chippewas are allowing 28.3 points per contest which puts them at 5th in the MAC and 79th in Division 1. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the nation. They are allowing 263.8 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Chippewas are currently ranked 9th in the MAC. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 170 total points. When it comes to rushing yards, they are giving up 101.5 yards per contest ranking them 25th in Division 1 and 1st in the Mid-American Conference. For the 2019 season, they have conceded a total of 609 rushing yards and 10.2 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Chippewas college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +10.5

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