New Mexico State at Alabama NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 9/7/2019

Saturday, September 7, 2019

Bryant-Denny Stadium

Bryant-Denny Stadium is the site where Tua Tagovailoa and the Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the New Mexico State Aggies on Saturday. The spread on this contest has New Mexico State as 55.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 63.5.

In their last game, the New Mexico State Aggies took on the Washington State Cougars and ended up taking the loss by a score of 58-7. Jason Huntley led the team in rushing in this game. He broke a long run for 27 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 57 yards on 9 carries which meant he was running for 6.3 yards per run. OJ Clark led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 47 yards on 7 catches. He earned an average of 6.7 yards per reception in this game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Aggies was Josh Adkins who went 28/42 with 221 yards by way of the pass but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He walked away with 2 picks in this game.

The Aggies come into this game with a record of 0-1 for this season. They are a team that struggles to put points on the board in the Sun Belt Conference and they will have to really have a good night if they want to have a good offensive game. For total yardage, they currently sit at 8th in the Sun Belt and 94th in the nation with 317 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Aggies have compiled a total of 0 passing TDs and 1 rushing TD. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country averaging 7 points per game, which has them at 122nd in the nation. As a unit, they have an average of 96 rushing yards per game which is 6th in the Sun Belt.

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The Aggies have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1 giving up 58 points per contest, putting them 11th in the conference and 129th in D-1. When it comes to rushing yards, New Mexico State is allowing 111 yards per game ranking them 5th in the Sun Belt Conference and 60th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.6 yards per rush ranking them 8th in the conference and 113th in the country overall. Overall, they have conceded 111 yards rushing through 1 game. When it comes to passing yards, the Aggies have conceded 221 yards. Opponents are completing 79.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 10.3 yards per try. They have allowed 6 passing TDs and 1 rushing TD.

In their last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide took on the Duke Blue Devils and were on the winning end of this game by a score of 42-3. Jerome Ford paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 37 yards and he notched 1 TD for this contest. He ran for 64 yards on 10 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.4 yards per run. Jerry Jeudy was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 137 yards on 10 receptions. He notched an average of 13.7 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Crimson Tide was Tua Tagovailoa who went 26/31 with 336 yards by way of the pass and completed 4 TD's. He walked away with no picks.

The Crimson Tide come into this matchup with a record of 1-0. In discussing the offensive production, the Crimson Tide have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. When talking about the points that are being put on the board, the Crimson Tide currently sit at 2nd in the conference and 31st out of all the teams in the nation averaging 42 points per contest. Alabama hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 145 yards per contest, which has them at 79th in the nation. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 145 rushing yards through 1 contest, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Crimson Tide average 512 yards per game overall which has them at 29th in college football and 2nd in the SEC.

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The Crimson Tide are conceding 3 points per contest which puts them at 1st in the Southeastern Conference and 8th in the nation. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 3 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are allowing 107 yards per contest which puts them at 56th in college football and 6th in the conference. For this year, they have given up 107 yards on the ground and 0 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the most dominate units in Division 1. They are allowing 97 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Crimson Tide are ranked 3rd in the SEC. They have allowed 0 passing touchdowns this season.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Crimson Tide college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies -55.5

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