New Mexico State vs Liberty NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 11/30/2019

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Liberty -13.5

Total/Over-Under: 66

Josh Adkins and the New Mexico State Aggies go to Williams Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Liberty Flames. The spread on this contest has Liberty as 13.5-point favorites. The Aggies are 5-6-0 ATS and 5-6-0 when betting on the total. The Flames are 3-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-6-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the New Mexico State Aggies took on the UTEP Miners and notched a win by a score of 44-35. Running the show from under center for the Aggies was Josh Adkins who went 18/30 with 175 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Jason Huntley led the team in rushing for that contest. He had a long run of 57 yards and he tallied 3 touchdowns during the game. He racked up a total of 191 yards on 14 carries which had him averaging 13.6 yards per carry. OJ Clark led the team in receiving yardage by earning 72 yards on 9 receptions. He averaged 8.0 yards per catch for that contest. The Aggies ran the football 25 times and racked up a total of 259 yards which earned them an average of 10.4 yards per rush. In all, they ran 56 plays which gave them a total of 441 yards. For the contest, the Aggies got 17 1st downs and they had a total of 3 penalties for 39 yards which is telling of the great week of practice this squad had. In terms of defense, New Mexico State allowed 24 catches on 38 attempts totaling 358 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.2%. Against the run, the Aggies allowed 199 yards on 40 tries which means they had an average of 5.0 yards per carry allowed. For the game, they gave up 557 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Aggies come into this game with a record of 2-9 for this year. For total yardage, they currently sit at 8th in the Sun Belt and 102nd in the nation with 4,007 yards. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 21.1 points per contest, which has them at 111th in the nation. As a team, they are averaging 142.6 rushing yards per contest which is 9th in the Sun Belt. The Aggies have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 40.3 points per contest ranking them 11th in the Sun Belt. When it comes to yards through the air, the Aggies have allowed 2,438 yards. Opponents are completing 61.1% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.4 yards per try. When it comes to rushing yards, New Mexico State is giving up 255.1 yards per contest ranking them 11th in the Sun Belt Conference and 128th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 6.1 yards per carry which has them at 11th in the conference and 129th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 2,806 yards rushing through 11 contests.

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In their last game, the Liberty Flames went up against the Virginia Cavaliers and took the loss by a score of 55-27. Frankie Hickson led the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 33 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the contest. He ran for a total of 88 yards via 15 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.9 yards per run. CJ Yarbrough was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 83 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 20.8 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Flames was Stephen Calvert who went 16/40 with 283 yards through the air and threw 2 touchdowns. He threw 2 picks during the game. The Flames ended up running the ball 23 times and totaled 79 yards which had them averaging 3.4 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 70 plays which added up to 392 yards. On the day, the Flames got 20 first downs and they had a total of 8 penalties for 77 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Liberty gave up 21 catches on 34 attempts totaling 272 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.8%. For this contest, they conceded a total of 499 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. Against the run, the Flames gave up 227 yards on 44 tries which gave them an average of 5.2 yards per run allowed.

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The Flames come into this matchup with a record of 6-5. Liberty is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 137.8 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 99th in the country. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,516 rushing yards through 11 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Flames average 439.4 yards per contest overall putting them 41st in Division 1 and 2nd among FBS Independent teams. The Flames are allowing 29.2 points per contest ranking them 4th among D-1 Independent teams and 77th in college football. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the nation. They are giving up 235 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Flames are currently ranked 5th among Independent teams. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 321 total points. When it comes to rushing yards, they are allowing 196.4 yards per contest ranking them 106th in the nation and 4th among FBS Independent teams. For this year, they have given up 2,160 rushing yards and 16.5 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Flames college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies +13.5

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