Nevada vs San Diego State NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

SDCCU Stadium

Carson Strong and the Nevada Wolf Pack go to SDCCU Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the San Diego State Aztecs. San Diego State opens this game as 16.5-point favorites. The Wolf Pack are 3-5-1 ATS and 4-5-0 when betting on the total. The Aztecs are 1-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Nevada Wolf Pack played the New Mexico Lobos and ended up getting the win by a score of 21-10. Devonte Lee paced the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 19 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 68 yards on 9 carries which meant he was running for 7.6 yards per carry. Romeo Doubs was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 167 yards on 11 catches. He notched an average of 15.2 yards per reception during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Wolf Pack was Carson Strong who went 28/40 with 305 yards through the air and tossed 2 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Wolf Pack ended up rushing 34 times and racked up a total of 64 yards which gave them an average of 1.9 yards per run. In the game, the Wolf Pack got 21 first downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 30 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. Overall, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 369 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Nevada gave up 19 catches on 36 tries for a total of 237 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.8%. For the game, they allowed 346 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways. In the running game, the Wolf Pack gave up 109 yards on 29 attempts which is an average of 3.8 yards per run allowed.

The Wolf Pack come into this game with a record of 5-4 for this year. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country averaging 19.3 points per game, which has them at 116th in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 114.1 yards on the ground per game which is 11th in the Mountain West. For total yardage, they currently sit at 9th in the Mountain West and 105th in D-1 with 2,858 yards. The Wolf Pack have one of the worst defenses in college football, giving up 34.6 points per game ranking them 10th in the conference. When it comes to rushing yards, Nevada is allowing 134.4 yards per contest putting them 5th in the Mountain West and 40th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per carry putting them 8th in the Mountain West and 80th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,210 rushing yards through 9 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Wolf Pack have allowed 1,831 yards. Teams are completing 60.2% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.4 yards per attempt.

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In their last outing, the San Diego State Aztecs took on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and earned the victory by a score of 20-17. Juwan Washington paced the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 30 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 89 yards on 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.6 yards per carry. Kobe Smith was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 78 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 11.1 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Aztecs was Ryan Agnew who went 14/23 with 185 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He tossed 1 pick in the game. The Aztecs ended up rushing 37 times and earned a total of 150 yards giving them an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, the Aztecs earned a total of 18 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 44 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In the game, they totaled 60 plays which added up to 335 yards. When discussing the defense, San Diego State gave up 21 catches on 39 attempts for a total of 255 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.8%. On the ground, the Aztecs gave up 121 yards on 33 carries which gave them an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they allowed a total of 376 yards but finished the game without a turnover.

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The Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 7-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Aztecs have one of the most lackluster offenses in the nation. San Diego State hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 152.9 rushing yards per game, ranking them 77th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,223 rushing yards through 8 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Aztecs average 330 yards per contest overall ranking them 112th in D-1 and 11th in the conference. The Aztecs are giving up 14.1 points per game which puts them at 1st in the conference and 8th in the country. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the country. They are conceding 213.6 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Aztecs currently sit at 7th in the MWC. When it comes to points given up, they have allowed 113 points in total. When talking about rushing yards, they are conceding 70 yards per game which puts them at 3rd in D-1 and 1st in the Mountain West. For the 2019 season, they have allowed a total of 560 rushing yards and 4 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aztecs -16.5

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