Nevada vs Fresno State NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 11/23/2019

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Fresno State -13.5

Total/Over-Under: 53

Carson Strong and the Nevada Wolf Pack are headed to Bulldog Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Fresno State Bulldogs. Nevada opens this contest as 13.5-point dogs. The Wolf Pack are 4-5-1 ATS and 4-6-0 when betting on the total. The Bulldogs are 7-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-6-1 against the spread.

In their last game, the Nevada Wolf Pack faced the San Diego State Aztecs and notched a win by a score of 17-13. Toa Taua paced the team in rushing in the game. His longest run of the day went for 6 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 19 yards on 12 carries which meant he was running for 1.6 yards per carry. Brendan O'Leary-Orange led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 50 yards on 2 catches. He had an average of 25.0 yards per catch in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Wolf Pack was Carson Strong who went 19/26 with 147 yards through the air and completed 1 touchdown. He tossed 1 pick in the game. The Wolf Pack ran the football 28 times and earned a total of 29 yards giving them an average of 1.0 yards per run. On the day, the Wolf Pack earned a total of 12 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 28 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they totaled 55 plays for a total of 226 yards. In terms of defense, Nevada gave up 18 catches on 35 attempts for a total of 196 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.4%. Overall, they conceded 309 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Wolf Pack gave up 113 yards on 39 carries which gave them an average of 2.9 yards per run allowed.

The Wolf Pack head into this game 6-4 this year. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country averaging 19.1 points per contest, ranking them 116th in college football. As a team, they are averaging 112 rushing yards per contest which is 11th in the MWC. For total yards, they rank 11th in the Mountain West and 109th in college football with 3,453 yards. The Wolf Pack have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, giving up 32.4 points per game which has them at 7th in the Mountain West. When it comes to passing yards, the Wolf Pack have conceded 2,333 yards. Teams are completing 58.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. In regard to yards rushing, Nevada is allowing 143.2 yards per game which has them at 5th in the MWC and 49th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush which has them at 8th in the MWC and 66th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,432 rushing yards through 10 contests.

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In their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs played the San Diego State Aztecs and ended up taking the loss by a score of 17-7. Leading the way at QB for the Bulldogs was Jorge Reyna who went 14/26 with 136 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He gave away 3 interceptions in the game. Ronnie Rivers paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 16 yards and he ran for 1 TD during the game. He ran for 47 yards by way of 15 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.1 yards per run. Zane Pope was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 56 yards on 3 catches. He notched an average of 18.7 yards per catch for the game. The Bulldogs ran the football 27 times and earned a total of 70 yards which earned them an average of 2.6 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 53 plays for 206 yards. Overall, the Bulldogs earned a total of 13 first downs and they had 7 penalties for 55 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When discussing the defense, Fresno State gave up 33 catches on 47 tries for a total of 323 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.2%. For this contest, they conceded 425 yards and earned 2 turnovers. In the running game, the Bulldogs gave up 102 yards on 37 carries which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per carry allowed.

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The Bulldogs head into this game 4-6. Fresno State has made teams respect their running game by averaging 168.4 rushing yards per game, which has them at 57th in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,684 rushing yards through 10 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Bulldogs average 394.8 yards per game overall ranking them 72nd in the nation and 8th in the conference. The Bulldogs are giving up 30.9 points per contest ranking them 6th in the conference and 90th in Division 1. When talking about points allowed, they have given up 309 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are allowing 156.1 yards per contest ranking them 62nd in the nation and 6th in the Mountain West. For 2019, they have conceded a total of 1,561 rushing yards and 20 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road units in the nation. They are giving up 266.6 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bulldogs currently sit at 10th in the Mountain West.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack +13.5

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