Navy vs Notre Dame NCAA Football Picks and Tips 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Notre Dame Stadium

Malcolm Perry and the Navy Midshipmen go to Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Navy opens this matchup as 10-point dogs. The Midshipmen are 6-2-0 ATS and 5-3-0 when betting on the total. The Fighting Irish are 3-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Navy Midshipmen faced the Connecticut Huskies and ended up getting the victory by a score of 56-10. Malcolm Perry paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 58 yards and he added 2 touchdowns for the game. He ran for a total of 108 yards by way of 11 carries which had him averaging 9.8 yards per carry. Ryan Mitchell was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 74 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 37.0 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Midshipmen was Malcolm Perry who went 3/6 with 165 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He ended the game without an interception. The Midshipmen ended up running the ball 51 times and earned a total of 408 yards which earned them an average of 8.0 yards per rush. For the game, the Midshipmen had a total of 24 1st downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 47 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In all, they ran 57 plays for 573 yards. In terms of defense, Navy conceded 16 completions on 34 attempts for a total of 205 yards, and a completion percentage of 47.1%. In the game, they conceded 311 yards and forced 3 turnovers. On the ground, the Midshipmen conceded 106 yards on 38 carries which means they had an average of 2.8 yards per attempt allowed.

The Midshipmen come into this matchup with a record of 7-1 this season. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 40.1 points per game, putting them 9th in the nation. As a team, they are averaging 358.3 yards on the ground per game which is 1st in the American Athletic Conference. For total yards, they currently sit at 8th in the conference and 77th in the nation with 3,657 yards. The Midshipmen have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 18.1 points per game putting them 1st in the AAC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Midshipmen have conceded 791 yards. Opponents are completing 52.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.8 yards per attempt. In discussing yards on the ground, Navy is giving up 109.6 yards per game which has them at 1st in the AAC and 18th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.3 yards per carry putting them 1st in the American Athletic Conference and 17th in college football overall. In total, they have conceded 877 yards rushing through 8 contests.

Related: Gambling 101 Series on How Odds are Calculated - Watch Tony George Explain

In their last game, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish played the Duke Blue Devils and notched a win by a score of 38-7. Ian Book led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 53 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 139 yards on 12 carries which meant he was running for 11.6 yards per run. Chase Claypool was the receiving yardage leader by earning 97 yards on 5 receptions. He had an average of 19.4 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Fighting Irish was Ian Book who went 18/32 with 181 yards passing and completed 4 touchdowns. He gave away 2 picks on the day. The Fighting Irish ran the ball a total of 42 times and totaled 288 yards earning them an average of 6.9 yards per attempt. On the day, the Fighting Irish racked up 21 first downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 76 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. For the game, they finished with a total of 74 plays for 469 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Notre Dame conceded 16 catches on 31 tries for a total of 102 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.6%. Against the run, the Fighting Irish conceded 95 yards on 30 carries which is an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they gave up 197 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

Related: Get college football tips & picks on all of today's games

The Fighting Irish come into this matchup with a record of 7-2. In discussing the offensive production, the Fighting Irish have one of the best offenses in college football. Notre Dame has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 177 rushing yards per game, putting them 50th in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 1,593 rushing yards through 9 contests, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Fighting Irish average 424.4 yards per contest overall which has them at 52nd in college football and 2nd among D-1 Independent teams. The Fighting Irish are conceding 19.2 points per game ranking them 1st among Independent teams and 21st in D-1. In discussing points given up, they have given up 173 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are allowing 157.3 yards per contest which puts them at 64th in D-1 and 2nd among D-1 Independent teams. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 1,416 yards on the ground and 9 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the elite groups in Division 1. They are conceding 171.8 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Fighting Irish are currently ranked 1st among Independent teams.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Fighting Irish college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +10

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here