Navy vs Connecticut NCAA Football Picks 11/1/2019

Friday, November 1, 2019

Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Rentschler Field is the site where Jack Zergiotis and the Connecticut Huskies will play the Navy Midshipmen on Friday. The spread on this game has Navy as 26-point favorites. The Midshipmen are 5-2-0 ATS and 4-3-0 when betting on the total. The Huskies are 3-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Navy Midshipmen faced the Tulane Green Wave and ended up getting the win by a score of 41-38. Jamale Carothers led the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 52 yards and he notched 3 TD's for the game. He ran for a total of 154 yards via 14 carries which had him averaging 11.0 yards per carry. Mychal Cooper was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 37 yards on 1 reception. He averaged 37.0 yards per catch for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Midshipmen was Malcolm Perry who went 2/7 with 68 yards passing and completed 1 TD. He walked away with 1 pick in the game. The Midshipmen ended up rushing 55 times and racked up 386 yards which earned them an average of 7.0 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, the Midshipmen got 21 first downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 10 yards which is telling of the great week of practice this squad had. On the day, they ran 63 plays for a total of 454 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Navy conceded 20 completions on 29 throws totaling 290 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.0%. Overall, they conceded a total of 477 yards and earned 2 turnovers. On the ground, the Midshipmen conceded 187 yards on 42 tries which is an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Midshipmen head into this game 6-1 for this season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 37.9 points per game, which has them at 16th in the nation. As a team, they have an average of 351.1 rushing yards per game which is 1st in the AAC. For total yardage, they sit in 8th in the American Athletic Conference and 71st in the nation with 3,084 yards. The Midshipmen have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 19.3 points per game putting them 1st in the American Athletic Conference. When it comes to rushing yards, Navy is giving up 110.1 yards per game ranking them 1st in the conference and 19th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.3 yards per rush ranking them 2nd in the American Athletic Conference and 22nd in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 771 yards rushing through 7 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Midshipmen have conceded 626 yards. Teams are completing 53.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Connecticut Huskies played the UMass Minutemen and earned the victory by a score of 56-35. Kevin Mensah paced the team in rushing for that game. His longest run of the day went for 45 yards and he ran for 5 TD's for the game. He ran for a total of 164 yards by way of 19 carries which gave him an average of 8.6 yards per carry. Cameron Ross was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 120 yards on 9 receptions. He had an average of 13.3 yards per catch for that game. Leading the way at QB for the Huskies was Jack Zergiotis who went 18/27 with 198 yards through the air and tossed 1 TD. He threw 1 interception during the game. The Huskies rushed the ball a total of 39 times and totaled 329 yards which gave them an average of 8.4 yards per attempt. On the day, the Huskies earned 25 first downs and they had 5 penalties for 60 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the day, they finished with a total of 67 plays for 542 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Connecticut allowed 20 catches on 40 attempts for a total of 239 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the running game, the Huskies allowed 200 yards on 38 tries which gave them an average of 5.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed. On the day, they gave up 439 yards and earned 3 turnovers.

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The Huskies head into this game 2-6. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Huskies leave a lot to be desired in terms of scoring in the nation. Connecticut needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 140.1 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 94th in Division 1. As a unit, they have a total of 1,121 yards rushing through 8 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Huskies average 344.4 yards per contest overall ranking them 110th in the country and 12th in the AAC. The Huskies are allowing 37.8 points per contest ranking them 12th in the conference and 127th in Division 1. In discussing points allowed, they have given up 302 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are allowing 197 yards per game which puts them at 104th in D-1 and 11th in the American Athletic Conference. This year, they have conceded 1,576 yards rushing and 16.8 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middling groups in D-1. They are allowing 233.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Huskies are currently ranked 9th in the AAC.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Huskies college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen -26

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