Missouri vs Vanderbilt NCAA Football Game Picks

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Vanderbilt Stadium

Riley Neal and the Vanderbilt Commodores play the Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday, October 19, 2019. The odds on this contest have Missouri as 20-point favorites. The Tigers are 4-2-0 ATS and 2-4-0 when betting on the total. The Commodores are 2-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 0-6-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Missouri Tigers played the Ole Miss Rebels and notched a win by a score of 38-27. Running the show from under center for the Tigers was Kelly Bryant who went 23/35 with 329 yards passing and threw 1 TD. He tossed 1 interception during the game. Larry Rountree III paced the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 41 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns for the game. He racked up a total of 126 yards via 21 carries which had him averaging 6.0 yards per run. Johnathon Johnson led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 110 yards on 8 receptions. He had an average of 13.8 yards per catch for that contest. The Tigers ran the football 42 times and totaled 234 yards earning them an average of 5.6 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, they ran 77 plays for 563 yards. On the day, the Tigers totaled 30 first downs and they had a total of 2 penalties for 26 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. In terms of defense, Missouri gave up 18 catches on 33 tries for a total of 236 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.5%. On the ground, the Tigers gave up 204 yards on 45 attempts which means they had an average of 4.5 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they allowed 440 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

The Tigers come into this game with a record of 5-1 this season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 38.8 points per contest, putting them 17th in the nation. As a unit, they have an average of 199.7 yards on the ground per game which is 4th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 6th in the conference and 27th in the nation with 2,847 yards. The Tigers have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 15.8 points per game ranking them 3rd in the SEC. In discussing yards rushing, Missouri is allowing 108 yards per contest ranking them 4th in the conference and 25th in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.1 yards per carry putting them 3rd in the conference and 25th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 648 yards rushing through 6 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Tigers have conceded 1,649 yards. Teams are completing 48.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.0 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Vanderbilt Commodores took on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and lost 34-10. Ke'Shawn Vaughn paced the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 43 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 140 yards by way of 15 carries which meant he averaged 9.3 yards per run. Ke'Shawn Vaughn led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 54 yards on 2 receptions. He had an average of 26.5 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Commodores was Riley Neal who went 11/25 with 104 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He threw 1 pick in the game. The Commodores ran the ball a total of 22 times and earned 166 yards which gave them an average of 7.5 yards per run. In the game, they ran 63 plays which gave them a total of 306 yards. For the contest, the Commodores racked up 12 first downs and they had 3 infractions for 38 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. In terms of defense, Vanderbilt conceded 11 catches on 16 attempts totaling 172 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.8%. In the game, they gave up 378 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Commodores conceded 206 yards on 53 runs which gave them an average of 3.9 yards per run allowed.

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The Commodores head into this game 1-5. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Commodores have one of the most lackluster offenses in Division 1. Vanderbilt hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 124.8 rushing yards per contest, putting them 105th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 749 yards rushing through 6 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Commodores average 339.7 yards per contest overall putting them 111th in the nation and 14th in the conference. The Commodores are giving up 36.8 points per contest ranking them 14th in the conference and 120th in D-1. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in the country. They are giving up 272.3 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Commodores are ranked 13th in the SEC. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 221 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are conceding 210.8 yards per contest which puts them at 114th in Division 1 and 14th in the SEC. For this season, they have given up a total of 1,265 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commodores +20

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