Mississippi State vs Texas A&M NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Kyle Field

Garrett Shrader and the Mississippi State Bulldogs are headed to Kyle Field on Saturday where they'll meet the Texas A&M Aggies. The odds on this game have Texas A&M as 11.5-point favorites. The Bulldogs are 2-5-0 ATS and 4-3-0 when betting on the total. The Aggies are 2-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-3-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Mississippi State Bulldogs faced the LSU Tigers and took the loss by a score of 36-13. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bulldogs was Garrett Shrader who went 17/28 with 238 yards through the air and threw 1 touchdown. He tossed 2 picks during the game. Garrett Shrader paced the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 12 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He ran for 66 yards by way of 19 carries which had him averaging 3.5 yards per run. Stephen Guidry led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 98 yards on 6 catches. He averaged 16.3 yards per reception during the game. The Bulldogs ran the ball 37 times and earned 102 yards which had them averaging 2.8 yards per carry. In the game, they ran 65 plays for 340 yards. In the game, the Bulldogs got 21 1st downs and they had a total of 13 penalties for 109 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. When it comes to their defensive performance, Mississippi State conceded 25 catches on 35 throws for a total of 327 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.4%. In the game, they gave up 413 yards but didn't get any takeaways. In the running game, the Bulldogs conceded 86 yards on 25 carries which means they had an average of 3.4 yards per attempt allowed.

The Bulldogs head into this game 3-4 this season. For total yardage, they currently sit at 11th in the SEC and 90th in D-1 with 2,597 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 24.9 points per contest, which has them at 92nd in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 179.1 rushing yards per contest which is 7th in the SEC. The Bulldogs have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 28.4 points per contest which has them at 12th in the SEC. In regard to yards rushing, Mississippi State is giving up 152.6 yards per game ranking them 10th in the conference and 63rd in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush ranking them 11th in the SEC and 85th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,068 rushing yards through 7 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulldogs have allowed 1,343 yards. Opponents are completing 60.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.6 yards per try.

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In their last game, the Texas A&M Aggies played the Ole Miss Rebels and ended up getting the victory by a score of 24-17. Leading the way at QB for the Aggies was Kellen Mond who went 16/28 with 172 yards passing and added 1 TD. He threw 2 picks in the game. Isaiah Spiller led the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 22 yards and he added 1 touchdown during the game. He scurried for 78 yards on 16 carries which meant he was running for 4.9 yards per run. Jalen Wydermyer led the team in receiving yardage by earning 67 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 16.8 yards per reception for that contest. The Aggies ran the ball 35 times and racked up a total of 168 yards which gave them an average of 4.8 yards per rush. For the contest, the Aggies racked up 20 first downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 68 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In all, they totaled 63 plays which gave them a total of 340 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Texas A&M gave up 14 catches on 29 tries for a total of 155 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.3%. For this contest, they allowed a total of 405 yards and earned 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Aggies gave up 250 yards on 44 tries which means they had an average of 5.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Aggies come into this game with a record of 4-3. Texas A&M hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 137.3 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 95th in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 961 rushing yards through 7 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Aggies average 408.7 yards per contest overall which has them at 61st in D-1 and 8th in the conference. The Aggies are giving up 21.9 points per contest which puts them at 7th in the conference and 40th in D-1. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 153 total points. In terms of yards on the ground, they are conceding 135.7 yards per game ranking them 45th in the nation and 8th in the Southeastern Conference. This season, they have conceded 950 rushing yards and 7.7 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road groups in Division 1. They are giving up 200.7 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Aggies are currently ranked 6th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies -11.5

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