Mississippi State at Auburn NCAA Football Picks and Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Jordan-Hare Stadium

Bo Nix and the Auburn Tigers play the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2019. Mississippi State opens this matchup as 7-point dogs. The Bulldogs are 2-2-0 ATS and 3-1-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 1-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-0-0 against the spread.

Key Mississippi State Bulldogs Injuries

09/22/19 OL Dareuan Parker Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Auburn
09/22/19 OL Darryl Williams Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Auburn
09/22/19 OL Evans Wilkerson Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Auburn
09/22/19 WR Stephen Guidry Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Auburn
09/22/19 QB Tommy Stevens Shoulder missed last game, is questionable Saturday vs Auburn

Key Auburn Tigers Injuries

09/22/19 DL Derrick Brown Upper Body is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi State
09/22/19 WR Shedrick Jackson Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi State
09/22/19 WR Ja'Varrius Johnson Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi State

In their last outing, the Mississippi State Bulldogs played the Kentucky Wildcats and earned the win by a score of 28-13. Garrett Shrader paced the team on the ground for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 49 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 125 yards via 11 carries which meant he averaged 11.4 yards per tote. Deddrick Thomas was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 46 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 23.0 yards per catch for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bulldogs was Garrett Shrader who went 17/22 with 180 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He threw 1 pick during the game. The Mississippi State Bulldogs rushed the ball a total of 40 times and earned a total of 241 yards which gave them an average of 6.0 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, they ran 62 plays for a total of 421 yards. For the contest, the Bulldogs racked up a total of 22 1st downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 45 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the defensive side of the ball, Mississippi State conceded 15 completions on 42 throws totaling 232 yards, and a completion percentage of 35.7%. Overall, they allowed a total of 386 yards and forced 1 takeaway. Against the run, the Bulldogs conceded 154 yards on 28 attempts which means they allowed 5.5 yards per attempt allowed.

The Bulldogs head into this game 3-1 this year. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 32 points per game, putting them 61st in college football. As a team, they have an average of 228.3 rushing yards per game which is 3rd in the Southeastern Conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 11th in the conference and 43rd in college football with 1,656 yards. The Bulldogs have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 21.8 points per contest putting them 7th in the Southeastern Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulldogs have conceded 743 yards. Opponents are completing 53.2% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.8 yards per try. In terms of yards on the ground, Mississippi State is giving up 143.3 yards per game which has them at 9th in the Southeastern Conference and 68th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.5 yards per rush which has them at 11th in the SEC and 91st in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 573 yards rushing through 4 contests.

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In the last game they played, the Auburn Tigers went up against the Texas A&M Aggies and won 28-20. JaTarvious Whitlow paced the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 9 yards and he added 1 TD during the game. He rushed for a total of 67 yards by way of 18 carries which gave him an average of 3.7 yards per run. Seth Williams was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 47 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 11.8 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Tigers was Bo Nix who went 12/20 with 100 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Auburn Tigers ran the ball a total of 41 times and added 195 yards earning them an average of 4.8 yards per carry. In the game, they totaled 62 plays which gave them a total of 301 yards. In the game, the Tigers racked up a total of 16 first downs and they had 12 penalties for 74 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. When it comes to their defensive performance, Auburn gave up 31 completions on 49 throws for a total of 335 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.3%. Against the run, the Tigers gave up 56 yards on 21 carries which gave them an average of 2.7 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they gave up 391 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

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The Tigers come into this game with a record of 4-0. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Tigers have one of the best offenses in college football. Auburn has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 260 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 15th in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 1,040 rushing yards through 4 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Tigers average 424 yards per contest overall ranking them 57th in Division 1 and 9th in the conference. The Tigers are giving up 15.8 points per game ranking them 6th in the SEC and 23rd in the nation. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 63 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are allowing 89.5 yards per contest which puts them at 21st in the country and 2nd in the conference. This year, they have conceded 358 yards rushing and 2 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in college football. They are conceding 227.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Tigers are currently ranked 9th in the Southeastern Conference.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +7

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