MTSU vs Western Kentucky NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 11/30/2019

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Western Kentucky -10

Total/Over-Under: 51

L.T. Smith Stadium is the site where Ty Storey and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will take on the MTSU Blue Raiders on Saturday. Western Kentucky opens this game as 10-point favorites. The Blue Raiders are 5-6-0 ATS and 7-3-1 when betting on the total. The Hilltoppers are 5-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 8-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the MTSU Blue Raiders went up against the Old Dominion Monarchs and earned the victory by a score of 38-17. Asher O'Hara paced the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 20 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 78 yards by way of 14 carries which had him averaging 5.6 yards per run. Jarrin Pierce was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 71 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 17.8 yards per reception for that contest. Leading the way at QB for the Blue Raiders was Asher O'Hara who went 18/25 with 185 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Blue Raiders ran the football 34 times and generated 160 yards earning them an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, the Blue Raiders totaled 22 first downs and they had 7 penalties for 69 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the day, they ran 61 plays for 404 yards. In terms of defense, MTSU allowed 39 completions on 65 throws for a total of 321 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. On the ground, the Blue Raiders allowed 102 yards on 21 attempts which means they had an average of 4.9 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 423 yards and earned 1 turnover.

The Blue Raiders head into this matchup 4-7 in 2019. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 26.4 points per game, putting them 84th in Division 1. As a unit, they have an average of 176.5 yards on the ground per game which is 3rd in the conference. For total yards, they are currently ranked 6th in Conference USA and 65th in Division 1 with 4,478 yards. The Blue Raiders have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 29.8 points per game which has them at 10th in Conference USA. When it comes to passing yards, the Blue Raiders have allowed 2,536 yards. Opponents are completing 64.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.5 yards per try. In regard to yards on the ground, MTSU is allowing 195.4 yards per contest putting them 11th in C-USA and 103rd in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per carry which has them at 9th in the conference and 101st in the nation overall. Overall, they have conceded 2,149 yards rushing through 11 contests.

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In their last game, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers went up against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and won 28-10. Gaej Walker paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 30 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for 84 yards by way of 20 carries which meant he averaged 4.2 yards per run. Jahcour Pearson was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 88 yards on 7 receptions. He had an average of 12.6 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Hilltoppers was Ty Storey who went 20/30 with 225 yards through the air and threw 2 touchdowns. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Hilltoppers ran the ball 34 times and added 134 yards earning them an average of 3.9 yards per attempt. For the contest, the Hilltoppers had a total of 17 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 64 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they totaled 65 plays for 365 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Western Kentucky allowed 20 completions on 39 attempts totaling 290 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.3%. Overall, they gave up 388 yards and forced 3 takeaways. In the running game, the Hilltoppers allowed 98 yards on 34 tries which is an average of 2.9 yards per run allowed.

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The Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 7-4. Western Kentucky is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 124.3 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 118th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,367 yards rushing through 11 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Hilltoppers average 371.5 yards per contest overall which has them at 97th in Division 1 and 9th in the conference. The Hilltoppers are allowing 19.5 points per contest ranking them 2nd in C-USA and 21st in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the top units in the nation. They are giving up 190.7 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Hilltoppers are ranked 3rd in C-USA. In regard to points given up, they have given up 215 total points. In regard to yards on the ground, they are allowing 135.2 yards per contest ranking them 38th in college football and 3rd in Conference USA. For this year, they have conceded 1,487 yards rushing and 11 rushing touchdowns.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +10 and under the total points

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