Louisville at Western Kentucky NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 9/14/2019

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Nissan Stadium

Jawon Pass and the Louisville Cardinals go to Nissan Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. The odds on this game have Louisville as 9-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 54.5. The Cardinals are 2-0-0 ATS and 0-2-0 when betting on the total. The Hilltoppers are 1-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-1-0 against the spread.

Key Louisville Cardinals Injuries

09/08/19 TE Jordan Davis Academics is questionable Saturday vs Western Kentucky
08/06/19 S TreSean Smith Suspension is out indefinitely

Key Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Injuries

09/06/19 RB Jakairi Moses Knee is out for season

In their last outing, the Louisville Cardinals took on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels and took home the victory by a score of 42-0. Javian Hawkins led the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 66 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 123 yards on 11 carries which meant he was running for 11.2 yards per carry. Justin Marshall led the team in receiving yardage by earning 59 yards on 2 receptions. He averaged 29.5 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Cardinals was Jawon Pass who went 12/19 with 196 yards through the air and tossed 4 touchdowns. He walked away with 1 pick on the day. The Louisville Cardinals ran the football 38 times and earned a total of 322 yards giving them an average of 8.5 yards per rush. Overall, the Cardinals had a total of 23 first downs and they had a total of 5 infractions for 30 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. For the game, they ran 58 plays which gave them a total of 542 yards. In terms of defense, Louisville gave up 9 catches on 16 throws totaling 42 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.3%. For this contest, they gave up 172 yards and earned 0 turnovers. On the ground, the Cardinals gave up 130 yards on 43 runs which gave them an average of 3.0 yards per attempt allowed.

The Cardinals come into this matchup with a record of 1-1 this year. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 29.5 points per game, putting them 69th in the country. As a team, they have an average of 290 yards on the ground per game which is 1st in the conference. For total yardage, they currently sit at 5th in the conference and 37th in the country with 934 yards. The Cardinals have one of the best defenses in Division 1, giving up 17.5 points per contest ranking them 4th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. In terms of rushing yards, Louisville is allowing 180 yards per game ranking them 11th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 100th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per rush putting them 11th in the conference and 88th in college football overall. Overall, they have conceded 360 rushing yards through 2 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Cardinals have conceded 354 yards. Teams are completing 59% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.0 yards per try.

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The last time they played, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers played the FIU Golden Panthers and added a loss to their record by a score of 14-20. Gaej Walker paced the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 14 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He scurried for 100 yards via 27 carries which meant he was running for 3.7 yards per carry. Lucky Jackson led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 93 yards on 6 catches. He had an average of 15.5 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Hilltoppers was Steven Duncan who went 19/33 with 241 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He threw 2 picks on the day. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ended up rushing 35 times and totaled 98 yards which earned them an average of 2.8 yards per run. For the contest, the Hilltoppers earned a total of 17 1st downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 60 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. Overall, they finished with a total of 68 plays for a total of 339 yards. When discussing the defense, Western Kentucky conceded 5 catches on 18 tries totaling 66 yards, and a completion percentage of 27.8%. In the game, they conceded 217 yards and forced 0 takeaways. In the running game, the Hilltoppers conceded 151 yards on 46 attempts which gave them an average of 3.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Hilltoppers head into this game 1-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Hilltoppers have an offense that could be called mediocre in D-1. Western Kentucky is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 141 rushing yards per game, ranking them 84th in college football. As a team, they have a total of 282 yards rushing through 2 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Hilltoppers average 413.5 yards per game overall putting them 66th in college football and 4th in C-USA. The Hilltoppers are allowing 24.5 points per contest ranking them 4th in C-USA and 66th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in D-1. They are giving up 235 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Hilltoppers currently sit at 6th in the conference. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 49 points in total. When it comes to rushing yards, they are giving up 85.5 yards per game which puts them at 25th in Division 1 and 1st in C-USA. This season, they have allowed 171 yards rushing and 2 rushing touchdowns.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Cardinals -9 and under 54.5 total points

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