Louisville vs Kentucky NCAA Football Tips 11/30/2019

Game: Louisville Cardinals vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Kentucky -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 51

Micale Cunningham and the Louisville Cardinals travel to Kroger Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Kentucky Wildcats. The spread on this game has Kentucky as 3.5-point favorites. The Cardinals are 7-4-0 ATS and 6-5-0 when betting on the total. The Wildcats are 5-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 8-3-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Louisville Cardinals went up against the Syracuse Orange and won by a score of 56-34. Javian Hawkins paced the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 47 yards and he added 1 TD in the game. He rushed for a total of 233 yards by way of 23 carries which means he ran for an average of 10.1 yards per run. Tutu Atwell was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 152 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 30.4 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Cardinals was Micale Cunningham who went 11/20 with 238 yards through the air and threw 5 touchdowns. He tossed 1 pick during the game. The Cardinals ended up running the ball 41 times and earned a total of 370 yards which gave them an average of 9.0 yards per attempt. Overall, they totaled 61 plays which gave them a total of 608 yards. Overall, the Cardinals had a total of 25 1st downs and they totaled 5 penalties for 59 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the defensive side of the ball, Louisville gave up 17 catches on 25 throws totaling 249 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. In the running game, the Cardinals gave up 261 yards on 52 attempts which is an average of 5.0 yards per carry allowed. In the game, they allowed 510 yards and forced 1 turnover.

The Cardinals come into this matchup with a record of 7-4 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they currently sit at 5th in the conference and 27th in college football with 4,996 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 34.5 points per contest, ranking them 25th in college football. As a unit, they are averaging 215.7 yards on the ground per contest which is 3rd in the ACC. The Cardinals have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, giving up 32.8 points per game which has them at 14th in the conference. In terms of yards on the ground, Louisville is giving up 183.2 yards per contest which has them at 10th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 86th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per rush ranking them 12th in the conference and 95th in college football overall. In total, they have conceded 2,015 yards rushing through 11 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Cardinals have allowed 2,624 yards. Opponents are completing 59.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.5 yards per attempt.

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In their last outing, the Kentucky Wildcats played the UT Martin Skyhawks and won 50-7. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Lynn Bowden Jr. who went 1/6 with 9 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He tossed 1 pick in the game. Lynn Bowden Jr. led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 58 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns during the game. He racked up a total of 129 yards on 11 carries which gave him an average of 11.7 yards per carry. Ahmad Wagner was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 9 yards on 1 reception. He had an average of 9.0 yards per catch for the game. The Wildcats ended up rushing 43 times and earned a total of 465 yards which had them averaging 10.8 yards per rush. Overall, the Wildcats earned a total of 16 1st downs and they had 2 penalties for 25 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. In the game, they ran 54 plays which added up to 482 yards. When discussing the defense, Kentucky conceded 22 completions on 38 attempts for a total of 216 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.9%. On the day, they gave up a total of 248 yards and earned 3 turnovers. Against the run, the Wildcats conceded 32 yards on 30 carries which is an average of 1.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Wildcats head into this matchup 6-5. Kentucky is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 253 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 12th in college football. As a team, they have compiled a total of 2,783 rushing yards through 11 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Wildcats average 380.4 yards per contest overall putting them 90th in Division 1 and 10th in the conference. The Wildcats are allowing 18.9 points per game which puts them at 5th in the conference and 18th in the nation. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 208 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are giving up 150.1 yards per game which puts them at 62nd in the country and 11th in the Southeastern Conference. This year, they have given up a total of 1,651 yards on the ground and 18.7 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the top groups in Division 1. They are giving up 178.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Wildcats are ranked 1st in the SEC.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wildcats -3.5

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