Louisiana Monroe vs Appalachian State Expert College Football Picks

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Kidd Brewer Stadium

Caleb Evans and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks go to Kidd Brewer Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Louisiana Monroe opens this matchup as 17-point dogs. The Warhawks are 2-4-0 ATS and 3-3-0 when betting on the total. The Mountaineers are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-1-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks went up against the Texas State Bobcats and ended up getting the victory by a score of 24-14. Josh Johnson paced the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 21 yards and he ran for 2 touchdowns for the game. He scurried for 114 yards via 22 carries which meant he was running for 5.2 yards per carry. Malik Jackson led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 55 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 11.0 yards per catch for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Warhawks was Caleb Evans who went 18/33 with 225 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away with 1 pick in the game. The Warhawks ran the football 42 times and racked up a total of 204 yards which earned them an average of 4.9 yards per carry. In the game, the Warhawks had a total of 24 first downs and they totaled 10 infractions for 59 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. For the game, they finished with a total of 75 plays which gave them a total of 429 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Louisiana Monroe allowed 20 completions on 39 throws for a total of 246 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.3%. For this contest, they allowed 338 yards and forced 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Warhawks allowed 92 yards on 28 tries which gave them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt allowed.

The Warhawks come into this game with a record of 3-3 for the 2019 season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 30.3 points per contest, ranking them 59th in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 220.8 yards on the ground per game which is 4th in the conference. For total yards, they are currently ranked 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference and 35th in D-1 with 2,779 yards. The Warhawks have one of the worst defenses in college football, allowing 34.8 points per game which has them at 8th in the Sun Belt. In regard to yards on the ground, Louisiana Monroe is giving up 228.8 yards per game which has them at 10th in the Sun Belt Conference and 124th in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.7 yards per rush putting them 10th in the Sun Belt and 125th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,373 rushing yards through 6 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Warhawks have conceded 1,454 yards. Opponents are completing 62.2% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.8 yards per attempt.

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In their last contest, the Appalachian State Mountaineers went up against the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and earned the win by a score of 17-7. Leading the way at QB for the Mountaineers was Zac Thomas who went 11/17 with 147 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Darrynton Evans paced the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 11 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for 69 yards via 22 carries which had him averaging 3.1 yards per run. Corey Xavier Sutton led the team in receiving yardage by earning 58 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 29.0 yards per reception in the game. The Mountaineers ended up rushing 53 times and generated 196 yards which gave them an average of 3.7 yards per rush. In the game, they ran 70 plays which gave them a total of 343 yards. Overall, the Mountaineers racked up a total of 21 1st downs and they totaled 3 infractions for 42 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. On the defensive side of the ball, Appalachian State gave up 13 catches on 24 attempts totaling 131 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.2%. For this contest, they conceded a total of 254 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. On the ground, the Mountaineers gave up 123 yards on 33 carries which gave them an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Mountaineers head into this matchup 5-0. Appalachian State has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 218.8 rushing yards per game, which has them at 27th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,094 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Mountaineers average 412 yards per game overall ranking them 69th in D-1 and 7th in the Sun Belt. The Mountaineers are giving up 24.6 points per contest ranking them 2nd in the conference and 56th in the country. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. They are conceding 230.2 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Mountaineers are ranked 5th in the conference. In discussing points given up, they have given up 123 points in total. When talking about rushing yards, they are conceding 156.6 yards per game which puts them at 65th in college football and 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference. For this season, they have given up 783 yards rushing and 6 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Warhawks/Mountaineers NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mountaineers -17

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