Liberty vs Virginia NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 11/23/2019

Game: Liberty Flames vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ACC Network Extra

Odds/Point Spread: Virginia -17.5

Total/Over-Under: 57

Stephen Calvert and the Liberty Flames go to Scott Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Virginia Cavaliers. Virginia opens this contest as 17.5-point favorites. The Flames are 5-5-0 ATS and 2-6-0 when betting on the total. The Cavaliers are 6-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-5-1 against the spread.

In their last game, the Liberty Flames went up against the BYU Cougars and lost 31-24. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Flames was Stephen Calvert who went 27/45 with 303 yards through the air and threw 3 touchdowns. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Frankie Hickson led the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 17 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 79 yards via 16 carries which gave him an average of 4.9 yards per run. Antonio Gandy-Golden was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 162 yards on 10 receptions. He had an average of 16.2 yards per reception in the game. The Flames ran the ball a total of 30 times and added 128 yards which had them averaging 4.3 yards per rush. In the game, the Flames got 25 first downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 40 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In all, they ran 76 plays for a total of 431 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Liberty allowed 24 catches on 34 tries for a total of 306 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.6%. On the ground, the Flames allowed 165 yards on 36 runs which gave them an average of 4.6 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they allowed 471 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Flames come into this matchup with a record of 6-4 for this season. For total yards, they rank 1st among Independent teams and 39th in Division 1 with 4,441 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 32.8 points per contest, which has them at 40th in Division 1. As a team, they have an average of 143.7 yards on the ground per game which is 4th among D-1 Independent teams. The Flames have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 26.6 points per game putting them 4th among Independent teams. In regard to rushing yards, Liberty is giving up 193.3 yards per game putting them 3rd among Independent teams and 99th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per rush putting them 4th among D-1 Independent teams and 96th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 1,933 rushing yards through 10 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Flames have conceded 2,313 yards. Teams are completing 60.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.8 yards per attempt.

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The last time they took the field, the Virginia Cavaliers faced the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and earned the victory by a score of 33-28. Bryce Perkins paced the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 43 yards and he tallied 1 TD for the game. He ran for 106 yards on 21 carries which meant he was running for 5.0 yards per run. Terrell Jana led the team in receiving yardage by earning 108 yards on 9 receptions. He notched an average of 12.0 yards per reception during the game. Running the show from under center for the Cavaliers was Bryce Perkins who went 24/35 with 258 yards passing and tossed 1 TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Cavaliers rushed the ball a total of 37 times and added 155 yards which earned them an average of 4.2 yards per carry. Overall, the Cavaliers got 25 1st downs and they totaled 6 infractions for 49 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. Overall, they ran 72 plays for a total of 413 yards. When discussing the defense, Virginia allowed 15 completions on 22 throws for a total of 229 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.2%. For the game, they conceded a total of 372 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Cavaliers allowed 143 yards on 32 attempts which means they had an average of 4.5 yards per carry allowed.

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The Cavaliers step onto the field holding a record of 7-3. In discussing the offensive production, the Cavaliers have one of the top tier offenses in Division 1. Virginia needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 113.3 rushing yards per game, which has them at 122nd in the country. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,133 rushing yards through 10 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Cavaliers average 369.2 yards per contest overall which has them at 96th in the nation and 12th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Cavaliers are allowing 22.5 points per game which puts them at 4th in the ACC and 35th in Division 1. Their pass defense is one of the best units in the nation. They are conceding 193.5 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Cavaliers currently sit at 2nd in the ACC. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 225 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are allowing 124.9 yards per contest ranking them 30th in the country and 5th in the ACC. For this season, they have conceded a total of 1,249 rushing yards and 13 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Cavaliers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Flames +17.5

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