Liberty Flames vs Georgia Southern Eagles Pick, Odds, Cure Bowl Prediction 12/21/2019

Game: Liberty Flames vs Georgia Southern Eagles

Date: Saturday, December 21, 2019

Cure Bowl

Location: Exploria Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Georgia Southern -8.5

Total/Over-Under: 55

Stephen Calvert and the Liberty Flames head to Exploria Stadium on Saturday, December 21, 2019 where they'll meet the Georgia Southern Eagles in the Cure Bowl. Liberty opens this contest as 8.5-point underdogs. The Flames are 6-6-0 ATS and 4-6-0 when betting on the total. The Eagles are 8-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-7-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Liberty Flames faced the New Mexico State Aggies and won by a score of 49-28. Running the show from under center for the Flames was Stephen Calvert who went 16/29 with 169 yards through the air and added 1 TD. He walked away with no picks. Frankie Hickson paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 24 yards and he added 4 TD's in the game. He rushed for a total of 196 yards by way of 29 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.8 yards per run. CJ Yarbrough led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 41 yards on 2 catches. He notched an average of 20.5 yards per reception for the game. The Flames ended up running the ball 49 times and generated 317 yards which had them averaging 6.5 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 78 plays for a total of 486 yards. In the game, the Flames earned 25 1st downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 65 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. On the defensive side of the ball, Liberty allowed 18 catches on 35 attempts totaling 173 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.4%. For the game, they gave up a total of 328 yards and earned 2 turnovers. Against the run, the Flames allowed 155 yards on 37 carries which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt allowed.

The Flames head into this game 7-5 for this year. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 33.7 points per game, ranking them 32nd in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 152.8 yards on the ground per contest which is 4th among Independent teams. For total yards, they sit in 1st among Independent teams and 39th in the country with 5,320 yards. The Flames have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 29.1 points per game which has them at 4th among Independent teams. When it comes to passing yards, the Flames have conceded 2,758 yards. Opponents are completing 60.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.5 yards per attempt. In discussing rushing yards, Liberty is giving up 192.9 yards per game putting them 4th among D-1 Independent teams and 100th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per rush ranking them 4th among FBS Independent teams and 96th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 2,315 yards rushing through 12 games.

In their last game, the Georgia Southern Eagles went up against the Georgia State Panthers and notched a win by a score of 38-10. J.D. King paced the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 30 yards and he added 3 TD's for the game. He rushed for 107 yards on 16 carries which had him averaging 6.7 yards per tote. Khaleb Hood was the receiving yardage leader by earning 28 yards on 2 receptions. He averaged 14.0 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Eagles was Shai Werts who went 7/10 with 73 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Eagles ended up running the ball 47 times and racked up 279 yards giving them an average of 5.9 yards per carry. In the game, the Eagles earned 22 1st downs and they had a total of 2 penalties for 25 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. Overall, they ran 57 plays for 352 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Georgia Southern gave up 18 catches on 27 throws totaling 182 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the running game, the Eagles gave up 108 yards on 37 runs which is an average of 2.9 yards per attempt allowed. Overall, they gave up 290 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways.

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The Eagles head into this game 7-5. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Eagles have an offense that could be called mediocre in D-1. Georgia Southern has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 260.8 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 8th in the nation. As a team, they have a total of 3,130 rushing yards through 12 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Eagles average 333.6 yards per game overall putting them 113th in Division 1 and 9th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Eagles are giving up 28.6 points per contest ranking them 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference and 72nd in Division 1. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 343 points in total. In regard to yards on the ground, they are conceding 137.1 yards per contest which puts them at 38th in the nation and 2nd in the conference. This year, they have conceded a total of 1,645 rushing yards and 16.8 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road units in D-1. They are allowing 240.2 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Eagles are currently ranked 9th in the Sun Belt.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Eagles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Flames +8.5

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