LSU vs Ole Miss NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Joe Burrow and the LSU Tigers travel to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Ole Miss Rebels. LSU opens this contest as 21-point favorites. The Tigers are 6-3-0 ATS and 6-3-0 when betting on the total. The Rebels are 4-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the LSU Tigers played the Alabama Crimson Tide and won 46-41. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Tigers was Joe Burrow who went 31/39 with 393 yards through the air and tossed 3 TD's. He walked away with no picks. Clyde Edwards-Helaire paced the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 18 yards and he added 3 touchdowns for the game. He rushed for 103 yards on 20 carries which gave him an average of 5.2 yards per carry. Ja'Marr Chase was the receiving yardage leader by earning 140 yards on 6 receptions. He notched an average of 23.3 yards per reception for that game. The Tigers rushed the ball a total of 40 times and totaled 166 yards giving them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt. For the game, they finished with a total of 79 plays for a total of 559 yards. For the contest, the Tigers got 29 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 35 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In terms of defense, LSU allowed 21 catches on 40 attempts for a total of 418 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.5%. Overall, they gave up 541 yards and earned 2 takeaways. On the ground, the Tigers allowed 123 yards on 28 attempts which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per run allowed.

The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 9-0 this season. For total yards, they rank 1st in the conference and 5th in the country with 4,847 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 46.7 points per contest, which has them at 4th in the country. As a team, they have an average of 159.2 yards on the ground per contest which is 10th in the SEC. The Tigers have one of the average defenses in the nation, allowing 22.3 points per contest which has them at 8th in the Southeastern Conference. When talking about yards rushing, LSU is allowing 101.7 yards per contest putting them 2nd in the Southeastern Conference and 12th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per carry putting them 2nd in the Southeastern Conference and 14th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 915 yards rushing through 9 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Tigers have allowed 3,414 yards. Teams are completing 53.9% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.8 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Ole Miss Rebels played the New Mexico State Aggies and ended up getting the victory by a score of 41-3. John Rhys Plumlee paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 75 yards and he added 2 touchdowns for the game. He ran for a total of 177 yards by way of 12 carries which gave him an average of 14.8 yards per carry. Elijah Moore was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 37 yards on 3 catches. He had an average of 12.3 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Rebels was John Rhys Plumlee who went 11/17 with 124 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Rebels rushed the ball a total of 61 times and racked up a total of 447 yards which had them averaging 7.3 yards per carry. For the contest, the Rebels got 32 first downs and they totaled 2 infractions for 20 yards which means they were extremely disciplined in this game. In the game, they ran 80 plays for a total of 606 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Ole Miss gave up 25 completions on 35 throws for a total of 127 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.4%. In the game, they allowed a total of 193 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. Against the run, the Rebels gave up 66 yards on 24 tries which is an average of 2.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Rebels come into this game with a record of 4-6. Ole Miss is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 247.5 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 14th in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 2,475 yards rushing through 10 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Rebels average 434.6 yards per contest overall putting them 43rd in the country and 4th in the Southeastern Conference. The Rebels are conceding 23.9 points per contest ranking them 10th in the conference and 44th in the country. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in the country. They are conceding 274.2 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Rebels currently sit at 14th in the Southeastern Conference. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 239 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are allowing 123.2 yards per contest ranking them 26th in the nation and 5th in the Southeastern Conference. In 2019, they have given up a total of 1,232 yards rushing and 11 rushing TDs.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Tigers -21 and under the total points

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