LSU vs Mississippi State NCAA Football Picks 10/19/2019

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Davis Wade Stadium

Davis Wade Stadium is the site where Tommy Stevens and the Mississippi State Bulldogs will take on the LSU Tigers on Saturday. LSU opens this game as 19-point favorites. The Tigers are 4-2-0 ATS and 5-1-0 when betting on the total. The Bulldogs are 4-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the LSU Tigers faced the Florida Gators and won 42-28. Clyde Edwards-Helaire paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 57 yards and he tallied 2 TD's for the game. He ran for 134 yards on 13 carries which had him averaging 10.3 yards per tote. Ja'Marr Chase was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 127 yards on 7 receptions. He had an average of 18.1 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Tigers was Joe Burrow who went 21/24 with 293 yards through the air and threw 3 touchdowns. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Tigers ran the ball a total of 23 times and racked up a total of 219 yards which earned them an average of 9.5 yards per carry. For the game, the Tigers had a total of 22 1st downs and they had 4 penalties for 28 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the day, they ran 47 plays which gave them a total of 512 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, LSU gave up 24 completions on 43 attempts for a total of 311 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.8%. Against the run, the Tigers gave up 146 yards on 40 tries which is an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they gave up a total of 457 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

The Tigers head into this matchup 6-0 for the 2019 season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 52.5 points per contest, ranking them 1st in Division 1. As a unit, they are averaging 165.8 yards on the ground per contest which is 9th in the SEC. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 1st in the Southeastern Conference and 2nd in Division 1 with 3,368 yards. The Tigers have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 21.2 points per contest ranking them 6th in the SEC. In discussing yards rushing, LSU is giving up 93.3 yards per contest which has them at 2nd in the conference and 12th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.9 yards per carry putting them 2nd in the conference and 14th in the nation overall. In total, they have conceded 560 rushing yards through 6 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Tigers have conceded 2,373 yards. Opponents are completing 55.4% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.3 yards per try.

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The last time they took the field, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took on the Tennessee Volunteers and took the defeat by a score of 20-10. Garrett Shrader led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 14 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 62 yards on 13 carries which meant he was running for 4.8 yards per carry. Osirus Mitchell led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 58 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 11.6 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Bulldogs was Garrett Shrader who went 5/10 with 79 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He tossed 1 pick during the game. The Bulldogs ended up running the ball 37 times and added 121 yards giving them an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. Overall, the Bulldogs earned 20 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 15 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the day, they finished with a total of 58 plays which added up to 267 yards. In terms of defense, Mississippi State allowed 10 catches on 14 tries totaling 167 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.4%. On the day, they gave up a total of 357 yards and earned 2 takeaways. Against the run, the Bulldogs allowed 190 yards on 44 carries which gave them an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 3-3. Mississippi State is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 192 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 44th in D-1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,152 yards rushing through 6 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Bulldogs average 376.2 yards per game overall putting them 94th in the nation and 12th in the Southeastern Conference. The Bulldogs are conceding 27.2 points per contest ranking them 11th in the conference and 67th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the middling units in D-1. They are conceding 230.7 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bulldogs are currently ranked 10th in the SEC. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 163 total points. In terms of yards rushing, they are conceding 163.7 yards per contest ranking them 75th in D-1 and 11th in the Southeastern Conference. In 2019, they have allowed a total of 982 yards on the ground and 13.2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers -19

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