Kentucky vs Vanderbilt NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Vanderbilt Stadium

Sawyer Smith and the Kentucky Wildcats are headed to Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Kentucky opens this game as 9-point favorites. The Wildcats are 6-3-0 ATS and 3-6-0 when betting on the total. The Commodores are 3-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-8-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Kentucky Wildcats went up against the Tennessee Volunteers and were beaten 17-13. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Lynn Bowden Jr. who went 4/7 with 25 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He threw 1 pick in the game. Lynn Bowden Jr. paced the team in rushing for that game. His longest run of the day went for 21 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for 114 yards by way of 26 carries which gave him an average of 4.4 yards per carry. Josh Ali was the receiving yardage leader by earning 12 yards on 2 catches. He earned an average of 6.0 yards per reception for that game. The Wildcats ended up rushing 64 times and racked up a total of 302 yards earning them an average of 4.7 yards per rush. For the game, the Wildcats totaled 21 first downs and they had a total of 4 penalties for 29 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. Overall, they totaled 71 plays for 327 yards. When discussing the defense, Kentucky gave up 14 catches on 25 tries totaling 213 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.0%. On the day, they gave up a total of 296 yards and earned 1 turnover. In the running game, the Wildcats gave up 83 yards on 21 runs which is an average of 4.0 yards per carry allowed.

The Wildcats come into this game with a record of 4-5 this year. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation averaging 20.3 points per contest, putting them 114th in Division 1. As a unit, they are averaging 212.9 yards on the ground per game which is 5th in the SEC. For total yardage, they currently sit at 13th in the Southeastern Conference and 107th in Division 1 with 3,173 yards. The Wildcats have one of the best defenses in the nation, giving up 20.8 points per contest which has them at 6th in the Southeastern Conference. When it comes to yards rushing, Kentucky is giving up 165.7 yards per game putting them 12th in the conference and 73rd in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5 yards per rush ranking them 12th in the conference and 110th in college football overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,491 rushing yards through 9 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Wildcats have allowed 1,257 yards. Opponents are completing 58.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.6 yards per try.

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In their last outing, the Vanderbilt Commodores played the Florida Gators and ended up taking the loss by a score of 56-0. Keyon Brooks paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 6 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 34 yards by way of 11 carries which gave him an average of 3.1 yards per run. James Bostic led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 32 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 16.0 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Commodores was Deuce Wallace who went 7/18 with 60 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He tossed 1 interception in the game. The Commodores rushed the ball a total of 40 times and earned a total of 51 yards which earned them an average of 1.3 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Commodores racked up 12 1st downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 56 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. Overall, they finished with a total of 61 plays which gave them a total of 128 yards. When discussing the defense, Vanderbilt allowed 27 catches on 40 attempts for a total of 410 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.5%. In the running game, the Commodores allowed 150 yards on 29 runs which gave them an average of 5.2 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 560 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

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The Commodores head into this matchup 2-7. Vanderbilt is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 118.1 yards on the ground per game, putting them 118th in the country. As a unit, they have a total of 1,063 yards rushing through 9 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Commodores average 296.7 yards per contest overall which has them at 124th in Division 1 and 14th in the SEC. The Commodores are giving up 35 points per game ranking them 13th in the Southeastern Conference and 116th in college football. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in the country. They are conceding 268.8 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Commodores are ranked 13th in the SEC. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 315 total points. In terms of yards rushing, they are conceding 197 yards per contest which puts them at 102nd in the nation and 13th in the Southeastern Conference. For 2019, they have allowed 1,773 yards on the ground and 18 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Wildcats/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats -9

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