Kentucky at South Carolina NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Williams-Brice Stadium

Ryan Hilinski and the South Carolina Gamecocks host the Kentucky Wildcats at Williams-Brice Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2019. Kentucky opens this contest as 4-point underdogs. The Wildcats are 3-1-0 ATS and 3-1-0 when betting on the total. The Gamecocks are 2-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-2-0 against the spread.

Key Kentucky Wildcats Injuries

09/14/19 QB Nik Scalzo ACL is out for season
09/08/19 QB Terry Wilson Knee is out for season
08/30/19 S Davonte Robinson Quad is out for season
08/07/19 WR Isaiah Epps Foot is out indefinitely

Key South Carolina Gamecocks Injuries

09/22/19 RB A.J. Turner Thumb is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 DL Aaron Sterling Knee is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 OL Eric Douglas Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 OL Hank Manos Ankle is out Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 DB J.T. Ibe Pectoral is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 DB Jaylin Dickerson Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 WR Shi Smith Side is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/22/19 RB Kevin Harris Undisclosed is out for season
09/22/19 QB Ryan Hilinski Elbow left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Kentucky
09/15/19 DL Brad Johnson Groin is out indefinitely
09/15/19 WR Randrecous Davis Ankle is out indefinitely
09/08/19 QB Jake Bentley Foot is out for season
08/29/19 DL Keir Thomas Ankle is out indefinitely

In their last contest, the Kentucky Wildcats faced the Mississippi State Bulldogs and lost 28-13. Asim Rose paced the team on the ground in the game. His longest run of the day went for 31 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for a total of 105 yards on 9 carries which meant he was running for 11.7 yards per carry. Lynn Bowden Jr. was the receiving yardage leader by earning 129 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 18.4 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Sawyer Smith who went 15/41 with 232 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away with 1 interception in the game. The Kentucky Wildcats ran the ball 28 times and earned a total of 154 yards giving them an average of 5.5 yards per run. In all, they ran 70 plays for 386 yards. For the game, the Wildcats racked up a total of 21 first downs and they had 5 penalties for 40 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When discussing the defense, Kentucky gave up 17 completions on 22 attempts for a total of 180 yards, and a completion percentage of 77.3%. Overall, they gave up 421 yards and earned 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Wildcats gave up 241 yards on 40 attempts which gave the opponent an average of 6.0 yards per run allowed.

The Wildcats come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 this season. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 27.5 points per game, which has them at 85th in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 177.3 rushing yards per game which is 8th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yards, they sit in 10th in the Southeastern Conference and 41st in the country with 1,676 yards. The Wildcats have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 24.5 points per game ranking them 10th in the SEC. When talking about yards on the ground, Kentucky is allowing 152.3 yards per game ranking them 12th in the SEC and 79th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rush ranking them 13th in the conference and 105th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 609 yards rushing through 4 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Wildcats have allowed 967 yards. Opponents are completing 63.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.6 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the South Carolina Gamecocks faced the Missouri Tigers and were defeated 34-14. Running the show from under center for the Gamecocks was Ryan Hilinski who went 13/30 with 166 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He threw 1 pick on the day. Rico Dowdle paced the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 11 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He racked up a total of 17 yards by way of 8 carries which means he ran for an average of 2.1 yards per carry. Bryan Edwards was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 113 yards on 6 catches. He averaged 18.8 yards per reception for that game. The South Carolina Gamecocks ran the ball a total of 24 times and added 16 yards which earned them an average of 0.7 yards per attempt. In the game, the Gamecocks totaled 11 first downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 63 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In all, they ran 65 plays which gave them a total of 271 yards. In terms of defense, South Carolina allowed 19 catches on 33 throws totaling 227 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.6%. In the running game, the Gamecocks allowed 194 yards on 54 attempts giving the other team an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 421 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

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The Gamecocks come into this matchup with a record of 1-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Gamecocks have one of the best offenses in the nation. South Carolina has made teams respect their running game by averaging 193 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 43rd in the country. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 772 rushing yards through 4 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Gamecocks average 443.8 yards per contest overall which has them at 47th in college football and 6th in the conference. The Gamecocks are conceding 28.8 points per contest which puts them at 13th in the SEC and 83rd in Division 1. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 115 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are allowing 145 yards per game ranking them 71st in D-1 and 10th in the Southeastern Conference. For 2019, they have given up 580 yards rushing and 1.2 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in the nation. They are conceding 290.5 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Gamecocks are currently ranked 13th in the SEC.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Wildcats +4 and under the total points

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