Kent State vs Toledo Expert College Football Picks 11/5/2019

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Glass Bowl

Dustin Crum and the Kent State Golden Flashes head to Glass Bowl on Tuesday where they'll meet the Toledo Rockets. The odds on this game have Toledo as 7.5-point favorites. The Golden Flashes are 4-4-0 ATS and 3-5-0 when betting on the total. The Rockets are 4-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Kent State Golden Flashes faced the Miami RedHawks and lost 23-16. Leading the way at QB for the Golden Flashes was Dustin Crum who went 23/44 with 209 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He tossed 1 interception during the game. Dustin Crum paced the team in rushing during the game. He had a long run of 19 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for 64 yards via 13 carries which meant he averaged 4.9 yards per tote. Isaiah McKoy was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 79 yards on 5 receptions. He notched an average of 15.8 yards per reception during the game. The Golden Flashes ended up running the ball 40 times and totaled 127 yards giving them an average of 3.2 yards per run. On the day, the Golden Flashes racked up a total of 25 first downs and they had 12 penalties for 100 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. In all, they ran 84 plays for a total of 336 yards. When discussing the defense, Kent State conceded 13 catches on 29 throws for a total of 178 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.8%. On the ground, the Golden Flashes conceded 289 yards on 42 runs which gave them an average of 6.9 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they allowed a total of 467 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Golden Flashes come into this matchup with a record of 3-5 for this year. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 23.9 points per game, which has them at 100th in college football. As a team, they are averaging 170.8 rushing yards per contest which is 7th in the MAC. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 10th in the MAC and 102nd in college football with 2,926 yards. The Golden Flashes have one of the worst defenses in college football, giving up 30.9 points per contest putting them 8th in the MAC. When talking about rushing yards, Kent State is allowing 250.9 yards per game ranking them 12th in the MAC and 128th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.2 yards per rush putting them 10th in the conference and 113th in college football overall. In total, they have conceded 2,007 rushing yards through 8 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Golden Flashes have conceded 1,560 yards. Opponents are completing 62.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.6 yards per try.

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In their last outing, the Toledo Rockets went up against the Eastern Michigan Eagles and ended up getting the victory by a score of 37-34. Bryant Koback led the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 54 yards and he ran for 2 TD's during the game. He ran for 259 yards by way of 32 carries which means he ran for an average of 8.1 yards per carry. Danzel McKinley-Lewis was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 85 yards on 2 catches. He notched an average of 42.5 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Rockets was Eli Peters who went 9/18 with 138 yards through the air and tossed 2 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks. The Rockets ended up rushing 57 times and earned 366 yards which gave them an average of 6.4 yards per attempt. For the game, the Rockets earned a total of 23 1st downs and they had 8 penalties for 84 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. On the day, they ran 75 plays which gave them a total of 504 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Toledo conceded 21 completions on 37 attempts totaling 286 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.8%. Against the run, the Rockets conceded 168 yards on 35 carries which is an average of 4.8 yards per attempt allowed. Overall, they gave up a total of 454 yards and earned 1 turnover.

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The Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 5-3. In discussing the offensive production, the Rockets have one of the average offenses in the nation. Toledo has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 245 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 13th in college football. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,960 rushing yards through 8 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Rockets average 445 yards per contest overall putting them 34th in the nation and 2nd in the conference. The Rockets are giving up 28 points per game ranking them 5th in the MAC and 68th in the country. In terms of points given up, they have given up 224 total points. In regard to yards on the ground, they are allowing 200 yards per game which puts them at 105th in Division 1 and 7th in the Mid-American Conference. For the 2019 season, they have allowed 1,600 rushing yards and 16 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road units in D-1. They are giving up 272.9 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Rockets currently sit at 12th in the Mid-American Conference.

Who will win tonight's Golden Flashes/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rockets -7.5

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