Indiana vs Penn State Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Beaver Stadium

Beaver Stadium is the site where Sean Clifford and the Penn State Nittany Lions will take on the Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday. The spread on this game has Penn State as 16.5-point favorites. The Hoosiers are 6-3-0 ATS and 4-5-0 when betting on the total. The Nittany Lions are 4-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Indiana Hoosiers played the Northwestern Wildcats and ended up getting the victory by a score of 34-3. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Hoosiers was Michael Penix Jr. who went 10/15 with 162 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He walked away with no picks. Stevie Scott III led the team in rushing for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 27 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns for the game. He ran for 116 yards on 26 carries which had him averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Whop Philyor led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 76 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 38.0 yards per reception for that contest. The Hoosiers rushed the ball a total of 51 times and added 144 yards which gave them an average of 2.8 yards per rush. In the game, they ran 76 plays for a total of 414 yards. For the game, the Hoosiers earned 24 first downs and they totaled 6 infractions for 50 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In terms of defense, Indiana conceded 12 catches on 31 attempts totaling 112 yards, and a completion percentage of 38.7%. In the game, they conceded a total of 199 yards and forced 3 turnovers. In the running game, the Hoosiers conceded 87 yards on 28 tries which gave them an average of 3.1 yards per carry allowed.

The Hoosiers head into this matchup 7-2 for 2019. For total yardage, they sit in 2nd in the Big Ten and 43rd in Division 1 with 4,023 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 34 points per contest, which has them at 34th in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 139 yards on the ground per game which is 11th in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 20 points per contest putting them 6th in the Big Ten Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Hoosiers have allowed 2,772 yards. Teams are completing 55.3% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.2 yards per attempt. When talking about rushing yards, Indiana is giving up 134.2 yards per contest putting them 8th in the Big Ten Conference and 38th in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rush ranking them 7th in the Big Ten and 39th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 1,208 yards rushing through 9 games.

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The last time they took the field, the Penn State Nittany Lions played the Minnesota Golden Gophers and ended up taking the loss by a score of 31-26. Journey Brown led the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 45 yards and he tallied 2 TD's during the game. He scurried for 124 yards on 14 carries which gave him an average of 8.9 yards per carry. KJ Hamler was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 119 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 17.0 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Nittany Lions was Sean Clifford who went 23/43 with 340 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He tossed 3 picks during the game. The Nittany Lions ended up rushing 29 times and totaled 178 yards earning them an average of 6.1 yards per attempt. For the game, the Nittany Lions totaled 25 1st downs and they had 4 penalties for 45 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In all, they ran 73 plays which added up to 518 yards. When discussing the defense, Penn State allowed 18 completions on 20 attempts for a total of 339 yards, and a completion percentage of 90.0%. For this contest, they allowed 460 yards and earned 1 turnover. Against the run, the Nittany Lions allowed 121 yards on 40 tries which gave them an average of 3.0 yards per carry allowed.

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The Nittany Lions head into this game 8-1. Penn State has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 173 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 53rd in Division 1. As a team, they have a total of 1,557 yards rushing through 9 contests, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Nittany Lions average 434.8 yards per game overall putting them 42nd in Division 1 and 3rd in the Big Ten. The Nittany Lions are conceding 12 points per game ranking them 3rd in the Big Ten Conference and 5th in the country. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in Division 1. They are giving up 225.8 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Nittany Lions sit in 10th in the Big Ten Conference. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 108 points in total. In regard to yards on the ground, they are giving up 74.7 yards per game ranking them 3rd in college football and 1st in the Big Ten. This season, they have conceded a total of 672 yards rushing and 6.3 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Hoosiers/Nittany Lions college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hoosiers +16.5

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