Indiana vs Purdue Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 11/30/2019

Game: Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, IN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Purdue +7

Total/Over-Under: 55

Aidan O'Connell and the Purdue Boilermakers play the Indiana Hoosiers at Ross-Ade Stadium on Saturday, November 30, 2019. The odds on this game have Indiana as 7-point favorites. The Hoosiers are 7-4-0 ATS and 6-5-0 when betting on the total. The Boilermakers are 7-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Indiana Hoosiers faced the Michigan Wolverines and ended up taking the loss by a score of 39-14. Running the show from under center for the Hoosiers was Peyton Ramsey who went 17/29 with 217 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He gave away 1 pick on the day. Stevie Scott III paced the team on the ground for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards and he notched 1 touchdown in the game. He scurried for 54 yards via 13 carries which gave him an average of 4.2 yards per tote. Peyton Hendershot was the receiving yardage leader by earning 62 yards on 6 catches. He had an average of 10.3 yards per reception for the game. The Hoosiers ran the ball a total of 37 times and earned 97 yards giving them an average of 2.6 yards per run. On the day, the Hoosiers earned 19 1st downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 86 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. In the game, they ran 67 plays which added up to 321 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Indiana gave up 20 catches on 32 tries totaling 366 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. For this contest, they conceded a total of 453 yards and forced 1 takeaway. On the ground, the Hoosiers gave up 87 yards on 29 attempts which means they had an average of 3.0 yards per run allowed.

The Hoosiers head into this game 7-4 for 2019. For total yards, they are currently ranked 3rd in the conference and 41st in the nation with 4,806 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 31.5 points per game, ranking them 47th in the nation. As a team, they have an average of 130.8 yards on the ground per contest which is 11th in the conference. The Hoosiers have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 23 points per game putting them 7th in the Big Ten. In discussing rushing yards, Indiana is allowing 135.2 yards per game putting them 8th in the conference and 37th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per carry ranking them 8th in the Big Ten and 40th in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,487 yards rushing through 11 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Hoosiers have allowed 3,367 yards. Teams are completing 55.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Purdue Boilermakers played the Wisconsin Badgers and took the loss by a score of 45-24. Zander Horvath paced the team in rushing for that contest. He had a long run of 27 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 34 yards via 4 carries which meant he was running for 8.5 yards per carry. Brycen Hopkins was the receiving yardage leader by earning 127 yards on 8 catches. He had an average of 15.9 yards per catch for that contest. Leading the way at QB for the Boilermakers was Aidan O'Connell who went 26/43 with 289 yards passing and completed 2 touchdowns. He gave away 1 interception in the game. The Boilermakers ran the football 20 times and generated 50 yards earning them an average of 2.5 yards per run. In the game, the Boilermakers got 20 1st downs and they had a total of 2 penalties for 5 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. In all, they ran 64 plays which added up to 376 yards. When discussing the defense, Purdue gave up 15 completions on 19 throws totaling 203 yards, and a completion percentage of 78.9%. On the ground, the Boilermakers gave up 404 yards on 54 tries which gave them an average of 7.5 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they allowed 607 yards and forced 4 takeaways.

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The Boilermakers come into this game with a record of 4-7. Purdue is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 74.6 rushing yards per game, putting them 129th in Division 1. As a team, they have a total of 821 yards rushing through 11 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Boilermakers average 375.6 yards per game overall which has them at 94th in D-1 and 8th in the Big Ten Conference. The Boilermakers are conceding 29.4 points per contest ranking them 12th in the Big Ten and 79th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in the country. They are giving up 235.3 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Boilermakers are currently ranked 11th in the Big Ten Conference. In discussing points allowed, they have allowed 323 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are giving up 193.3 yards per game which puts them at 99th in the country and 13th in the Big Ten. In 2019, they have given up 2,126 yards on the ground and 22 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Hoosiers/Boilermakers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hoosiers -7

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