Georgia State vs Louisiana Monroe NCAA Football Picks 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Malone Stadium

Dan Ellington and the Georgia State Panthers are headed to Malone Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks. Georgia State opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The Panthers are 5-1-2 ATS and 5-3-0 when betting on the total. The Warhawks are 4-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-6-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Georgia State Panthers played the Troy Trojans and notched a win by a score of 52-33. Tra Barnett led the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 41 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns for the contest. He rushed for a total of 242 yards via 34 carries which means he ran for an average of 7.1 yards per run. Aubry Payne led the team in receiving yardage by earning 51 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 25.5 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Panthers was Dan Ellington who went 18/25 with 189 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He tossed 1 pick on the day. The Panthers ran the ball a total of 57 times and generated 390 yards which earned them an average of 6.8 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, they ran 82 plays for a total of 579 yards. Overall, the Panthers earned 30 first downs and they had 3 penalties for 35 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. When discussing the defense, Georgia State gave up 34 completions on 46 tries for a total of 421 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.9%. Overall, they gave up a total of 517 yards but weren't able to foce a turnover. In the running game, the Panthers gave up 96 yards on 23 tries which gave them an average of 4.2 yards per carry allowed.

The Panthers head into this matchup 6-2 for this season. For total yards, they rank 3rd in the Sun Belt and 33rd in the nation with 3,829 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 36.6 points per game, which has them at 21st in the nation. As a unit, they have an average of 257.3 yards on the ground per game which is 3rd in the Sun Belt. The Panthers have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 34.9 points per contest which has them at 8th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Panthers have allowed 1,771 yards. Opponents are completing 66.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.6 yards per try. In discussing rushing yards, Georgia State is giving up 196.6 yards per game which has them at 6th in the Sun Belt and 101st in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.3 yards per rush putting them 9th in the Sun Belt Conference and 119th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,573 yards rushing through 8 games.

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In their last game, the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks played the Arkansas State Red Wolves and took the defeat by a score of 48-41. Caleb Evans paced the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 67 yards and he added 3 TD's in the game. He ran for a total of 148 yards via 12 carries which meant he averaged 12.3 yards per carry. Jonathan Hodoh led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 65 yards on 6 receptions. He earned an average of 10.8 yards per reception during the game. Running the show from under center for the Warhawks was Caleb Evans who went 24/37 with 215 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Warhawks rushed the ball a total of 38 times and totaled 233 yards earning them an average of 6.1 yards per carry. For the game, the Warhawks racked up a total of 21 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 45 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they finished with a total of 75 plays which added up to 448 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Louisiana Monroe gave up 21 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 307 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. On the ground, the Warhawks gave up 218 yards on 43 runs which is an average of 5.1 yards per run allowed. On the day, they gave up 525 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

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The Warhawks head into this game 3-5. Louisiana Monroe has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 208.6 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 28th in the country. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,669 yards rushing through 8 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Warhawks average 430 yards per contest overall which has them at 45th in D-1 and 6th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Warhawks are giving up 38.6 points per contest ranking them 10th in the Sun Belt Conference and 127th in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in the country. They are conceding 259.5 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Warhawks are ranked 9th in the Sun Belt Conference. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 309 total points. When it comes to yards rushing, they are giving up 236.6 yards per game which puts them at 127th in college football and 10th in the Sun Belt Conference. In 2019, they have given up a total of 1,893 rushing yards and 20 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Panthers/Warhawks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Panthers -2.5

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