Georgia State at Western Michigan Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 9/14/2019

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Waldo Stadium

Waldo Stadium is the site where Jon Wassink and the Western Michigan Broncos will take on the Georgia State Panthers on Saturday. Western Michigan opens this game as 11-point favorites. The total has been set at 65.5. The Panthers are 1-0-1 ATS and 2-0-0 when betting on the total. The Broncos are 1-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-1-0 against the spread.

Key Georgia State Panthers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Western Michigan Broncos Injuries

No key injuries to report

In their last outing, the Georgia State Panthers took on the Furman Paladins and ended up getting the win by a score of 48-42. Dan Ellington paced the team on the ground during the game. He tore off a long run of 16 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 86 yards by way of 15 carries which meant he averaged 5.7 yards per run. Cornelius McCoy led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 143 yards on 10 catches. He averaged 14.3 yards per reception during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Panthers was Dan Ellington who went 29/37 with 362 yards through the air and added 5 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Georgia State Panthers ended up rushing 39 times and added 204 yards which earned them an average of 5.2 yards per attempt. Overall, the Panthers had a total of 29 1st downs and they had a total of 7 infractions for 57 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the day, they ran 76 plays for a total of 566 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Georgia State allowed 16 catches on 26 throws for a total of 323 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.5%. Against the run, the Panthers allowed 215 yards on 41 carries which gave the opponent an average of 5.2 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 538 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

The Panthers head into this game 2-0 in 2019. For total yards, they rank 3rd in the Sun Belt and 42nd in college football with 918 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 43 points per contest, ranking them 26th in college football. As a team, they have an average of 208.5 yards on the ground per contest which is 7th in the conference. The Panthers have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, giving up 36 points per game which has them at 9th in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Panthers have conceded 501 yards. Teams are completing 63.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 9.6 yards per try. In discussing yards on the ground, Georgia State is giving up 154 yards per contest putting them 5th in the conference and 81st in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rush ranking them 6th in the Sun Belt Conference and 94th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 308 rushing yards through 2 games.

Related: Gambling 101 Series on How Odds are Calculated - Watch Tony George Explain

The last time they played, the Western Michigan Broncos went up against the Michigan State Spartans and added a loss to their record by a score of 51-17. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Broncos was Jon Wassink who went 23/37 with 252 yards passing and added 1 TD. He gave away 2 picks during the game. LeVante Bellamy led the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 8 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 44 yards on 15 carries which gave him an average of 2.9 yards per run. Keith Mixon Jr. was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 71 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 17.8 yards per reception in the game. The Western Michigan Broncos rushed the ball a total of 27 times and generated 67 yards which earned them an average of 2.5 yards per attempt. In the game, they ran 68 plays for 352 yards. In the game, the Broncos got 18 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 46 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In terms of defense, Western Michigan gave up 24 completions on 33 tries for a total of 331 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.7%. On the day, they conceded 582 yards and forced 2 turnovers. Against the run, the Broncos gave up 251 yards on 34 carries which gave them an average of 7.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

Related: Get college football tips & picks on all of today's games

The Broncos step onto the field holding a record of 1-1. Western Michigan hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 78.5 rushing yards per game, putting them 123rd in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 157 yards rushing through 2 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Broncos average 405 yards per game overall which has them at 69th in the nation and 2nd in the Mid-American Conference. The Broncos are conceding 32 points per game ranking them 9th in the Mid-American Conference and 105th in the country. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 64 total points. In discussing yards rushing, they are giving up 189.5 yards per contest which puts them at 107th in Division 1 and 11th in the conference. This year, they have allowed a total of 379 yards on the ground and 4 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in Division 1. They are conceding 262.5 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Broncos are currently ranked 8th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Panthers/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Panthers +11

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn