Georgia State at Texas State Expert College Football Picks 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Bobcat Stadium

Dan Ellington and the Georgia State Panthers head to Bobcat Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Texas State Bobcats. Texas State opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 62. The Panthers are 1-1-1 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Bobcats are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 0-3-0 against the spread.

Key Georgia State Panthers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Texas State Bobcats Injuries

No key injuries to report

In their last game, the Georgia State Panthers took on the Western Michigan Broncos and took the loss by a score of 57-10. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Panthers was Dan Ellington who went 11/20 with 126 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He tossed 1 pick in the game. Tra Barnett led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 45 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He scurried for 127 yards by way of 19 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.7 yards per run. Devin Gentry led the team in receiving yardage by earning 44 yards on 1 reception. He earned an average of 44.0 yards per reception for the game. The Georgia State Panthers ended up rushing 41 times and totaled 210 yards which earned them an average of 5.1 yards per attempt. On the day, the Panthers had a total of 13 first downs and they had 9 penalties for 95 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. On the day, they ran 66 plays which added up to 336 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Georgia State gave up 16 catches on 21 attempts for a total of 244 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.2%. On the ground, the Panthers gave up 450 yards on 44 carries allowing their opponent an average of 10.2 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they gave up 694 yards and earned 0 turnovers.

The Panthers come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 this year. For total yards, they currently sit at 2nd in the Sun Belt Conference and 51st in college football with 1,254 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 32 points per game, which has them at 65th in college football. As a team, they are averaging 209 yards on the ground per contest which is 5th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Panthers have one of the worst defenses in the nation, giving up 43 points per game ranking them 10th in the conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Panthers have conceded 627 yards. Teams are completing 66.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 10.1 yards per try. In discussing yards rushing, Georgia State is allowing 252.7 yards per contest putting them 10th in the Sun Belt and 126th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 6.5 yards per rush putting them 10th in the Sun Belt Conference and 129th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 758 rushing yards through 3 contests.

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In the last game they played, the Texas State Bobcats went up against the SMU Mustangs and lost 47-17. Caleb Twyford paced the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 7 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He scurried for 25 yards on 11 carries which meant he averaged 2.3 yards per run. Caleb Twyford was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 53 yards on 3 catches. He earned an average of 17.7 yards per catch for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bobcats was Gresch Jensen who went 22/37 with 185 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 pick in the game. The Texas State Bobcats ran the football 29 times and earned a total of 16 yards which earned them an average of 0.6 yards per rush. On the day, the Bobcats totaled 15 first downs and they had 4 infractions for 38 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the day, they ran 69 plays for 241 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Texas State conceded 15 catches on 19 attempts for a total of 249 yards, and a completion percentage of 78.9%. For the game, they conceded a total of 639 yards and earned 3 turnovers. On the ground, the Bobcats conceded 390 yards on 56 attempts which gave them an average of 7.0 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Bobcats head into this game 0-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Bobcats have one of the most lackluster offenses in the nation. Texas State is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 24.7 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 131st in college football. As a team, they have compiled a total of 74 yards rushing through 3 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Bobcats average 301.3 yards per contest overall which has them at 119th in D-1 and 9th in the conference. The Bobcats are giving up 37 points per contest ranking them 9th in the conference and 121st in the nation. In discussing points allowed, they have allowed 111 total points. In regard to yards rushing, they are giving up 275.3 yards per contest ranking them 130th in the nation and 11th in the Sun Belt. For 2019, they have conceded 826 yards on the ground and 8.1 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the top groups in the nation. They are giving up 194.7 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bobcats are ranked 3rd in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Panthers/Bobcats NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bobcats -2.5

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