Georgia Southern vs Troy Expert College Football Picks 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Veterans Memorial Stadium

Shai Werts and the Georgia Southern Eagles head to Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Troy Trojans. Georgia Southern opens this contest as 1-point favorites. The Eagles are 3-5-0 ATS and 5-3-0 when betting on the total. The Trojans are 5-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-6-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Georgia Southern Eagles took on the Appalachian State Mountaineers and ended up getting the victory by a score of 24-21. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Eagles was Shai Werts who went 1/4 with 16 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He ended the game with no interceptions. Wesley Kennedy III led the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 68 yards and he tallied 2 TD's during the game. He scurried for 145 yards on 13 carries which had him averaging 11.2 yards per run. Mark Michaud led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 16 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 8.0 yards per reception during the game. The Eagles ran the ball a total of 56 times and earned 335 yards which earned them an average of 6.0 yards per attempt. Overall, they ran 60 plays which gave them a total of 351 yards. Overall, the Eagles earned a total of 15 1st downs and they had 2 penalties for 20 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. When discussing the defense, Georgia Southern gave up 25 completions on 51 attempts for a total of 271 yards, and a completion percentage of 49.0%. For this contest, they gave up 423 yards but didn't force any takeaways. On the ground, the Eagles gave up 152 yards on 30 runs which gave them an average of 5.1 yards per carry allowed.

The Eagles head into this matchup 5-3 this season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 25 points per contest, putting them 89th in D-1. As a unit, they have an average of 269.4 yards on the ground per game which is 2nd in the Sun Belt. For total yards, they currently sit at 9th in the Sun Belt and 119th in D-1 with 2,512 yards. The Eagles have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, allowing 27.1 points per game putting them 3rd in the conference. When it comes to rushing yards, Georgia Southern is giving up 136 yards per game ranking them 1st in the Sun Belt Conference and 41st in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per carry ranking them 1st in the conference and 39th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 1,088 yards rushing through 8 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Eagles have conceded 357 yards. Teams are completing 59% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.2 yards per try.

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The last time they took the field, the Troy Trojans faced the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and ended up taking the loss by a score of 36-35. Running the show from under center for the Trojans was Kaleb Barker who went 26/35 with 385 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. DK Billingsley paced the team on the ground in the game. He had a long run of 17 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for 83 yards by way of 14 carries which meant he was running for 5.9 yards per tote. Kaylon Geiger was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 145 yards on 12 catches. He notched an average of 12.1 yards per catch in the game. The Trojans ended up rushing 32 times and added 115 yards earning them an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, they finished with a total of 67 plays which added up to 500 yards. In the game, the Trojans racked up a total of 27 1st downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 69 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. When discussing the defense, Troy allowed 32 completions on 45 throws for a total of 285 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.1%. In the game, they allowed a total of 476 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Trojans allowed 191 yards on 39 runs which gave them an average of 4.9 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Trojans come into this game with a record of 3-5. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Trojans have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Troy is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 147 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 83rd in D-1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,176 yards rushing through 8 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Trojans average 464 yards per game overall putting them 23rd in the country and 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference. The Trojans are allowing 32.6 points per contest which puts them at 7th in the conference and 107th in the country. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. They are conceding 275 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Trojans sit in 11th in the Sun Belt. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 261 points in total. In discussing rushing yards, they are allowing 142.6 yards per contest which puts them at 51st in Division 1 and 2nd in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have allowed a total of 1,141 yards on the ground and 14.4 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Eagles/Trojans NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Trojans +1

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