Fresno State vs Air Force Odds and Predictions ATS

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Falcon Stadium

Donald Hammond and the Air Force Falcons host the Fresno State Bulldogs at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2019. The spread on this contest has Air Force as 3.5-point favorites. The Bulldogs are 1-2-1 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-3-0 against the spread.

Key Fresno State Bulldogs Injuries

08/31/19 RB Romello Harris Knee is out indefinitely
08/13/19 RB Jordan Mims Foot is out for season

Key Air Force Falcons Injuries

10/06/19 DL Kaleb Nunez Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Fresno State

The last time they played, the Fresno State Bulldogs went up against the New Mexico State Aggies and won 30-17. Jalen Cropper led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 79 yards and he notched 1 TD for the contest. He rushed for 118 yards on 5 carries which gave him an average of 23.6 yards per run. Emoryie Edwards was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 70 yards on 8 receptions. He had an average of 8.8 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Bulldogs was Jorge Reyna who went 20/31 with 147 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Bulldogs ran the ball 38 times and earned a total of 239 yards giving them an average of 6.3 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 69 plays which gave them a total of 386 yards. For the game, the Bulldogs racked up 18 first downs and they had 3 penalties for 25 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. When discussing the defense, Fresno State gave up 26 catches on 47 attempts for a total of 210 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.3%. For the game, they gave up 315 yards and earned 3 takeaways. On the ground, the Bulldogs gave up 105 yards on 22 attempts giving the other team an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they rank 10th in the conference and 117th in the country with 1,664 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 30.5 points per contest, which has them at 64th in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 165.3 rushing yards per game which is 6th in the MWC. The Bulldogs have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 26.5 points per game putting them 6th in the MWC. When it comes to rushing yards, Fresno State is giving up 109.5 yards per game which has them at 3rd in the MWC and 30th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rush putting them 5th in the conference and 37th in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 438 yards rushing through 4 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulldogs have allowed 1,003 yards. Opponents are completing 62.1% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.2 yards per try.

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In the last game they played, the Air Force Falcons went up against the Navy Midshipmen and were defeated 34-25. Running the show from under center for the Falcons was Donald Hammond III who went 10/25 with 205 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He gave away 1 interception during the game. Donald Hammond III paced the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 42 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 77 yards via 12 carries which meant he was running for 6.4 yards per tote. Benjamin Waters was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 128 yards on 4 catches. He notched an average of 32.0 yards per catch for the game. The Falcons ran the ball a total of 43 times and earned a total of 111 yards which had them averaging 2.6 yards per attempt. For the contest, the Falcons earned a total of 15 1st downs and they had 1 penalty for 12 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. In the game, they totaled 69 plays for a total of 357 yards. When discussing the defense, Air Force gave up 6 completions on 8 attempts totaling 162 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 215 yards on 49 carries allowing their opponent an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 377 yards and earned 2 turnovers.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 3-2. Air Force has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 289.4 rushing yards per game, ranking them 3rd in college football. As a unit, they have a total of 1,447 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Falcons average 426.6 yards per game overall putting them 58th in college football and 6th in the MWC. The Falcons are conceding 23.6 points per contest ranking them 4th in the conference and 51st in the country. Their passing defense is one of the middling units in Division 1. They are allowing 201.6 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Falcons are currently ranked 3rd in the conference. When it comes to points given up, they have given up 118 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are conceding 117.6 yards per contest which puts them at 37th in D-1 and 4th in the Mountain West. In 2019, they have allowed 588 yards on the ground and 8 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Falcons NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -3.5

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