Fresno State vs San Jose State Expert College Football Picks 11/30/2019

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: San Jose State +2.5

Total/Over-Under: 66

Josh Love and the San Jose State Spartans host the Fresno State Bulldogs at CEFCU Stadium on Saturday, November 30, 2019. The odds on this matchup have Fresno State as 2.5-point favorites. The Bulldogs are 3-7-1 ATS and 8-3-0 when betting on the total. The Spartans are 6-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-4-1 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Fresno State Bulldogs went up against the Nevada Wolf Pack and lost 35-28. Running the show from under center for the Bulldogs was Jorge Reyna who went 27/37 with 261 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. He tossed 1 pick during the game. Josh Hokit paced the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 11 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for 32 yards via 7 carries which meant he averaged 4.6 yards per carry. Ronnie Rivers was the receiving yardage leader by earning 88 yards on 7 receptions. He had an average of 12.6 yards per catch for that game. The Bulldogs ran the ball a total of 25 times and racked up a total of 53 yards giving them an average of 2.1 yards per attempt. On the day, the Bulldogs totaled 18 first downs and they had a total of 8 penalties for 96 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. For the game, they ran 63 plays for 331 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Fresno State conceded 20 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 154 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.5%. In the running game, the Bulldogs conceded 254 yards on 34 runs which gave them an average of 7.5 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 408 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Bulldogs head into this game 4-7 for this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 31.3 points per contest, which has them at 52nd in D-1. As a unit, they are averaging 157.9 yards on the ground per contest which is 6th in the Mountain West. For total yardage, they rank 8th in the Mountain West and 79th in D-1 with 4,279 yards. The Bulldogs have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 31.3 points per game which has them at 7th in the MWC. When it comes to passing yards, the Bulldogs have allowed 2,542 yards. Teams are completing 61.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.0 yards per try. When talking about rushing yards, Fresno State is allowing 165 yards per contest which has them at 7th in the Mountain West and 75th in the nation. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per carry ranking them 8th in the conference and 76th in D-1 overall. In total, they have conceded 1,815 yards rushing through 11 games.

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In their last outing, the San Jose State Spartans took on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and were beaten 38-35. Running the show from under center for the Spartans was Josh Love who went 37/56 with 465 yards through the air and threw 3 touchdowns. He gave away 4 interceptions during the game. DeJon Packer led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 17 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the game. He ran for 78 yards by way of 16 carries which meant he averaged 4.9 yards per carry. Tre Walker was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 133 yards on 12 receptions. He notched an average of 11.1 yards per catch for the game. The Spartans ran the ball a total of 21 times and totaled 99 yards which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per run. Overall, the Spartans got 26 1st downs and they had a total of 12 penalties for 106 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. Overall, they finished with a total of 77 plays which added up to 564 yards. In terms of defense, San Jose State gave up 21 catches on 36 tries for a total of 203 yards, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. In the running game, the Spartans gave up 252 yards on 38 tries which gave them an average of 6.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 455 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Spartans head into this game 4-7. San Jose State needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 88 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 126th in D-1. As a team, they have a total of 968 yards rushing through 11 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Spartans average 430.4 yards per game overall which has them at 49th in Division 1 and 6th in the conference. The Spartans are giving up 33.4 points per contest which puts them at 11th in the conference and 111th in D-1. In regard to points given up, they have given up 367 points in total. In discussing yards on the ground, they are allowing 237 yards per game ranking them 126th in college football and 12th in the conference. This year, they have conceded a total of 2,607 rushing yards and 28.6 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre groups in the nation. They are allowing 216 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Spartans are currently ranked 3rd in the MWC.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Spartans NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Spartans +2.5

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