Florida vs Missouri Expert College Football Picks 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field

Kyle Trask and the Florida Gators head to Memorial Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Missouri Tigers. Missouri opens this contest as 5-point dogs. The Gators are 6-4-0 ATS and 4-6-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 2-7-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-5-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Florida Gators faced the Vanderbilt Commodores and notched a win by a score of 56-0. Kadarius Toney paced the team in rushing during the game. He had a long run of 26 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 39 yards via 2 carries which meant he was running for 19.5 yards per carry. Trevon Grimes was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 95 yards on 4 catches. He notched an average of 23.8 yards per reception during the game. Leading the way at QB for the Gators was Kyle Trask who went 25/37 with 363 yards passing and tossed 3 TD's. He gave away 2 interceptions in the game. The Gators ran the ball 29 times and racked up 150 yards which earned them an average of 5.2 yards per carry. For the game, the Gators racked up a total of 33 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 50 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 69 plays which added up to 560 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Florida gave up 8 catches on 21 throws for a total of 77 yards, and a completion percentage of 38.1%. For this contest, they gave up a total of 128 yards and earned 3 takeaways. In the running game, the Gators gave up 51 yards on 40 attempts which is an average of 1.3 yards per run allowed.

The Gators step onto the field holding a record of 8-2 in 2019. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 33.3 points per game, putting them 39th in the country. As a team, they have an average of 131.3 rushing yards per game which is 13th in the conference. For total yards, they are currently ranked 4th in the SEC and 33rd in the country with 4,198 yards. The Gators have one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 15 points per contest putting them 2nd in the conference. When it comes to yards on the ground, Florida is giving up 119.4 yards per contest ranking them 4th in the Southeastern Conference and 25th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.6 yards per carry ranking them 4th in the Southeastern Conference and 28th in the country overall. In total, they have conceded 1,194 rushing yards through 10 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Gators have conceded 2,885 yards. Teams are completing 58.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.7 yards per attempt.

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In their last outing, the Missouri Tigers took on the Georgia Bulldogs and took the defeat by a score of 27-0. Running the show from under center for the Tigers was Taylor Powell who went 10/22 with 84 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He walked away with 1 pick on the day. Larry Rountree III led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 8 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He rushed for 24 yards on 9 carries which gave him an average of 2.7 yards per carry. Jonathan Nance led the team in receiving yardage by earning 45 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 11.3 yards per reception for the game. The Tigers ran the ball a total of 24 times and earned 50 yards earning them an average of 2.1 yards per run. For the contest, the Tigers racked up a total of 11 1st downs and they totaled 5 infractions for 47 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 58 plays for a total of 198 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Missouri allowed 13 catches on 29 tries for a total of 173 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.8%. For this contest, they conceded a total of 339 yards but didn't force any takeaways. On the ground, the Tigers allowed 166 yards on 38 tries which gave them an average of 4.4 yards per carry allowed.

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The Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 5-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Tigers have an offense that could be called mediocre in the country. Missouri is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 169.4 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 61st in Division 1. As a unit, they have a total of 1,525 yards rushing through 9 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Tigers average 402.9 yards per contest overall ranking them 70th in the nation and 9th in the SEC. The Tigers are conceding 19.1 points per game which puts them at 5th in the conference and 18th in college football. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 172 total points. When talking about yards rushing, they are allowing 140.1 yards per game ranking them 47th in Division 1 and 8th in the SEC. In 2019, they have allowed a total of 1,261 yards rushing and 10.8 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the most dominate groups in D-1. They are giving up 147.7 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Tigers currently sit at 1st in the SEC.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Tigers NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers +5

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