Florida vs LSU Spread and Picks ATS

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Tiger Stadium

Tiger Stadium is the site where Joe Burrow and the LSU Tigers will play the Florida Gators on Saturday. Florida opens this contest as 2.5-point underdogs. The Gators are 3-3-0 ATS and 1-5-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 4-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-1-0 against the spread.

Key Florida Gators Injuries

10/07/19 QB Kyle Trask Knee injured last game, is probable Saturday vs LSU
10/06/19 DL Luke Ancrum Suspension is questionable Saturday vs LSU
10/06/19 UT Amari Burney Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs LSU
10/06/19 DB Jeawon Taylor Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs LSU
10/06/19 CB C.J. Henderson Ankle is questionable Saturday vs LSU
09/22/19 QB Feleipe Franks Knee is out for season
09/09/19 WR Kadarius Toney Shoulder is out indefinitely

Key LSU Tigers Injuries

10/06/19 DE Glen Logan Foot is questionable Saturday vs Florida
10/06/19 LB Rahssan Thornton Suspension is questionable Saturday vs Florida
10/06/19 DE Rashard Lawrence Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Florida
10/06/19 FB Tory Carter Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Florida
10/04/19 WR Kenan Jones Transferred has left team
10/03/19 RB Lanard Fournette Personal has left team
09/22/19 WR Terrace Marshall Jr. Leg is out indefinitely
09/16/19 S Todd Harris Jr. Undisclosed is out for season
09/13/19 WR Dee Anderson Suspension is out for season

In the last game they played, the Florida Gators faced the Auburn Tigers and won by a score of 24-13. Running the show from under center for the Gators was Kyle Trask who went 19/31 with 234 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Lamical Perine paced the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 88 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He ran for a total of 130 yards via 14 carries which meant he averaged 9.3 yards per run. Freddie Swain led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 146 yards on 6 catches. He averaged 24.3 yards per reception for that contest. The Gators ran the football 33 times and added 132 yards which gave them an average of 4.0 yards per attempt. In all, they ran 72 plays for 398 yards. On the day, the Gators totaled 19 first downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 55 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When it comes to their defensive performance, Florida conceded 11 completions on 27 tries totaling 145 yards, and a completion percentage of 40.7%. In the running game, the Gators conceded 124 yards on 34 attempts allowing their opponent an average of 3.6 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they gave up a total of 269 yards and forced 4 takeaways.

The Gators head into this matchup 6-0 for this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 32.3 points per contest, ranking them 53rd in D-1. As a unit, they have an average of 140.2 yards on the ground per contest which is 11th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 5th in the Southeastern Conference and 19th in D-1 with 2,548 yards. The Gators have one of the best defenses in Division 1, allowing 9.5 points per game putting them 1st in the SEC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Gators have conceded 1,707 yards. Opponents are completing 57.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.3 yards per try. In discussing yards rushing, Florida is giving up 98.2 yards per game putting them 4th in the SEC and 19th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.1 yards per carry which has them at 4th in the conference and 27th in the country overall. In total, they have conceded 589 yards rushing through 6 contests.

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The last time they took the field, the LSU Tigers went up against the Utah State Aggies and earned the win by a score of 42-6. Clyde Edwards-Helaire paced the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 11 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 72 yards by way of 14 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.1 yards per run. Justin Jefferson led the team in receiving yardage by earning 155 yards on 9 receptions. He averaged 17.2 yards per catch during the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Tigers was Joe Burrow who went 27/38 with 344 yards through the air and threw 5 TD's. He walked away with 1 pick on the day. The Tigers ran the ball 51 times and earned a total of 248 yards giving them an average of 4.9 yards per attempt. For the contest, the Tigers totaled 32 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 41 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In all, they totaled 90 plays for 601 yards. When discussing the defense, LSU conceded 16 completions on 31 attempts totaling 140 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.6%. Overall, they conceded a total of 168 yards and earned 3 turnovers. Against the run, the Tigers conceded 28 yards on 21 runs which means they allowed 1.3 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 5-0. In discussing the offensive production, the Tigers have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. LSU is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 155.2 rushing yards per game, putting them 75th in college football. As a unit, they have a total of 776 rushing yards through 5 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Tigers average 571.2 yards per contest overall ranking them 2nd in college football and 1st in the SEC. The Tigers are allowing 19.8 points per game which puts them at 7th in the Southeastern Conference and 30th in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the nation. They are conceding 206.8 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Tigers sit in 5th in the conference. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 99 points in total. When it comes to rushing yards, they are giving up 82.8 yards per contest ranking them 9th in the nation and 2nd in the conference. For this season, they have allowed a total of 414 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Gators +2.5

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